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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres Prediction,
and Odds - 5-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#959 Pittsburgh
Pirates 7.5
#960 San Diego
Padres -125

Thursday, May 16, 2019 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Pittsburgh Pirates

21 - 19


San Diego Padres

22 - 21


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to San Diego to face the Padres on Thursday in the opening game of a four-game series. The Pirates come in with a record of 21-18 while the Padres are 22-20. Right-hander Trevor Williams (2-1) gets the start for the Pirates, while left-hander Eric Lauer (2-4) gets the start for the Padres. Game time is 10:10 p.m. Eastern at PETCO Park in San Diego.

Josh Bell is on fire

The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 games to improve to 21-18. They are in 4th place in the NL Central, 4 games behind the first place Cubs. They took 3 of 4 from St. Louis earlier this week and split 2 games with the Diamondbacks, not counting Wednesday’s series finale. They are coming off a 6-2 win over the D-Backs on Tuesday. Joe Musgrove had his best outing of the season, allowing 1 hit over 7 innings to get the win. Josh Bell went 2 for 4 with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs. Melky Cabrera and Sterling Marte each had 3 hits while Cole Tucker had a home run and 2 RBIs.

The Pirates average 3.7 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. They hit just .242 as a team, which is 195th in the league, and they have a slugging percentage of .382, which is 25th. Melky Cabrera leads the Pirates with an average of .342 with 3 HR and 11 RBIs. He ranks 3rd in the Majors in batting. Josh Bell has been on an absolute tear. He has raised his batting average to .320 and he has 12 home runs and 39 RBIs. In the last week, he’s had 11 RBIs to jump to 2nd in the majors.  Gregory Polanco is batting .308 with 2 HRs and 9 RBIs., while Starling Marte is hitting .265 with 4 HRs and 17 RBIs.

The Pirates have a team ERA of 4.21, which is 12th in the MLB. They have a team WHIP of 1.28, which is 10th in the league. Trevor Williams gets the start for Pittsburgh on Thursday. The right-hander is 2-1 on the year with a 3.40 ERA.

San Diego gets boost from Reyes

The San Diego Padres have lost 2 in a row and 3 of their last 4 games to fall to 22-20. They are now in 3rd place in the NL West, 5 games behind the first place Dodgers. They lost the first game of a 2 game series with the Dodgers Tuesday by the score of 6-3. Chris Paddock got rocked for 6 runs in 4.2 innings to suffer the loss. Manny Machado had a good game, going 3 for 4 with a home run and 2 RBIs. Franmil Reyes had 2 hits including a home run and an RBI.

San Diego has gotten great production from 23-year-old Franmil Reyes as of late. Reyes is hitting .273 with 12 HRs and 23 RBIs. Eric Hosmer is hitting .270 with 6 HRs and 24 RBIs, while Manny Machado is hitting .265 with 9 HRs and 25 RBIs. Will Myers is hitting .242 with 7 HRs and 15 RBIs. Rookie Fernando Tatis Jr , who is on the injured list, is hitting .300 with 6 HRs and 13 RBIs. They average 3.9 runs per game, which ranks 24th in the majors. They have a team batting average of .232, which ranks 24th in the league, and a slugging percentage of .415, which is 17th. They are 6th in home runs with 62.

The Padres have a team ERA of 3.95, which is 11th in the majors. They have a team WHIP of 1.21, which is 5th.  Lefty Eric Lauer takes the mound Thursday for the Padres.  He is 2-4 with a 5.75 ERA.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Take the Pirates on the road. The Padres have been getting bombarded in recent games. In the last 4 games they have goven up an average of 8 runs per game. And Eric lauer, who got pummeled for 8 runs in 3 innings in his last outing, wont stop the bleeding. The Pirates, on the other hand, are hot. They’ve won 3 of 4 and they have been riding the hot bats of Bell and Cabrera. Go with the better, Williams, and the Pirates.

Prediction: Pirates +123

Full-Game Total Pick

Take the over. This is a no-brainer. Josh Bell is on a tear and the Pirates are on a nice run. They’ll hang a number on Lauer, who has been pretty awful in recent starts. The over is 4-0 in Lauers last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance 5-2 in his last 7 starts on grass. Also, the Pirates hit lefties well. The over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Prediction: Over

David Shields

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