Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Angels Stadium of Anaheim, Anaheim California
When: Friday, May 17, 2019 10:07pm Eastern
We have an American League contest to consider for Friday evening when the Kansas City Royals meet the Los Angeles Angels under partly cloudy skies and game time temps in the lower 70’s. The Royals have a game with Texas that is being played as this preview is written so all stats and opinions regarding the Royals will be from stats from the completion of Wednesday night’s contest.
Kansas City is in the last place in the American League Central and plans on sending righty Brad Keller out to the bump on Friday night. Los Angeles has Thursday off and plans on right-hander Matt Harvey to toe the rubber for the Angels. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Royals in Season Two of Rebuild
Kansas City is rebuilding and has a record of 15 wins and 28 losses and is 12.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins for the top spot in the American League Central. The Royals don’t travel well and have an away record this season of 5-14 and over their last ten games has lost six of their last ten games.
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) May 16, 2019
The Royals have injuries on their report but has been dealing with these injuries since Spring Training.
Keller (2-4, 4.47 ERA) is coming off one of his worst outings of the season, allowing five earned runs and scattering five hits over five innings pitched at home against the Phillies for his fourth loss of the season. Keller walked four and struck out three in the 7-0 loss to Philadelphia. Keller has a 4.47 ERA and his 5.08 xFIP suggests maybe Keller has been a bit lucky and he’ll need some luck to get past the Angels on Friday.
The Angels have the third best offense in baseball against right-handed pitching and their 15 percent strikeout rate isn’t going to make things easier for Keller and his 6.71 strikeouts per nine innings pitched. Keller might catch a break as he allows less than half a bomb per nine innings pitched and the Angels have solid power as their .189 ISO and wOBA .346 suggests it does.
Angels in Third Place in AL West
Los Angeles began their 2019 season rather slowly, but has come on in recent weeks and now sits in third place in the American League West and has a 5-5 record over their last ten games, has a home record of 11 wins and nine losses and enters Friday night’s contest hoping to end a two-game losing streak.
— Los Angeles Angels (@Angels) May 15, 2019
The Angels have a lengthy injury report and they’ve been dealing with those same injuries for more than one month.
Harvey (1-3, 6.69 ERA) is coming off a four-inning, no-decision against the Orioles in Baltimore, scattering five hits while allowing one bomb and two earned runs. Harvey struck out six while walking two for his fourth no-decision of the season. Harvey has a 6.69 ERA but his 4.83 xFIP suggests some bad luck and some serious, positive regression might be in store for Harvey at some point this season.
Kansas City ranks 12th in offense against right-handed pitching and their .195 ISO and .329 wOBA against righthanded pitching this season could be troublesome for Harvey and his 3.57 walks per nine innings pitched and 1.56 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched. Harvey strikes out 6.25 batters per nine innings pitched and might benefit from the Royals 22 percent strikeout rate this season.
- Angels are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Royals are 1-4 in Keller’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Royals are 0-4 in Keller’s last 4 starts.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Angels are my choice to win this game but I believe them winning will have more to do with the Royals playing on Thursday and then flying west. Keller is learning on the fly and unfortunately that for him means taking his lumps, and I suspect the Angels will punish him for allowing the 5.50 free passes per nine innings he’s averaging this season. Harvey will have a tight leash and after he allows his usual four or five runs, he will be gone. We Cash with the Flash” when we play the Angels to beat the Royals.
Prediction: Angels -132
Full-Game Total Pick
I suspect with Keller and Harvey on the hill that we are going to see some runs scored on Friday night. Both sides hit righties for power and for average and neither of these pitchers will be able to do much to prevent the runs from crossing home plate on Friday. We Cash with the Flash when we play the over on Friday.
Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs