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The Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants will play the second game of their series on Tuesday. Julio Teheran will get the start for the Braves, while Shaun Anderson will make the second start of his career for San Francisco. Oddsmakers have the Braves as slight road favorites. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN.
Don’t look now, but the Atlanta Braves are starting to heat up. The Braves won the NL East last season as a very young team and they have a ton of talent, so it was always clear they were going to pick things up eventually.
That’s exactly what they’re doing now, as they’ve won seven of their last nine games entering Monday. As they look to keep the momentum going, they’ll have Julio Teheran on the mound here. Teheran has been having a good season overall, but he’s been great recently. Great might actually be an understatement, as over his last three starts Teheran has only given up one total run. He’s given up just seven hits in his last 17 innings, and I don’t think he’ll have much trouble here against this weak-hitting Giants lineup. Teheran often dominates against weaker teams, and the Braves are 7-2 in Teheran’s last 9 starts against teams with losing records.
"I really like the way I've been feeling."
Julio Teheran turned in another scoreless outing. pic.twitter.com/qGDI66CVjm
— FOX Sports: Braves (@FOXSportsBraves) May 17, 2019
The Braves’ lineup is also starting to break out, as they’ve scored double-digit runs twice in their past handful of games. They had ten against the Cardinals a few days ago, then followed it up with 12 in their next game against the Brewers. They’re above .500 on the road this year, so I don’t think they’ll have much trouble dealing with the hostile environment.
Giants Starting Rookie
The San Francisco Giants were picked by most people to finish in last place in the NL West in 2019, and they haven’t done much to suggest that was wrong so far. The Giants have been mediocre at best all season long, and entered Monday with a 20-25 record. They really need to have a strong series here, to avoid having things slip away. They’ll have rookie Shaun Anderson on the mound in this spot. Anderson looked solid in his first start, giving up two runs in five innings, but he’ll have a much tougher task here against a more talented Braves lineup. Adrenaline might’ve carried him in his first start, and I think he’ll take a step back here. Anderson had a 4.11 ERA in AAA before getting called up, so it’s not like he’s anything too special.
I also doubt that he’ll get too much run support from the lineup. The Giants have scored just 175 runs this season, and only the lowly Tigers, Marlins, and Pirates have scored fewer in the entire league. The Giants are also just 4-12 in their last 16 home games vs. teams with winning records, so they clearly don’t have much of a home-field advantage. With a pitcher making his second career start facing off against a red hot Teheran, I’m not too optimistic about their chances here.
- 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series
- 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League East
- 4-12 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record
- 7-2 in their last 9 overall
- 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter
- 7-2 in Teheran’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I love the Braves here, and they should be significantly larger favorites. They’re one of the league’s more talented teams, facing a lifeless Giants lineup and a pitcher making his second career start. It’s a mismatch, and Teheran is on fire right now, so I don’t see how you couldn’t lay the juice here.
Prediction: Braves -125
Full-Game Total Pick
I’m also playing the under here. Teheran has only given up one total run over his last three starts and is facing off against one of the league’s weakest lineups, so there’s no way I could take the over here. Anderson looked very solid in his first outing and only gave up three hits, so he should at the very least be able to hold his own here.