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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction,
and Odds - 5-21-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#917 Boston
Red Sox -130
#918 Toronto
Blue Jays 9

Tuesday, May 21, 2019 at 7:07pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox

25 - 22


Toronto Blue Jays

19 - 28


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Where and when:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Tuesday, 7:07 pm EST

After a long homestand to where they went 5-3, the Boston Red Sox will continue their four-game road set versus their AL East foe in the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, for game two on Tuesday night beginning at 7:07 pm EST.  These two teams split a two-game set on April 11th.  

The Red Sox were able to salvage a three-game set versus the Houston Astros in the finale thanks to a huge, eventual game-winning RBI double in the seventh inning from Rafael Devers along with a solid pitching performance from Wade Miley who, despite allowing a homer to Michael Chavis, pitched five innings while ending with two earned runs.  With the win, the Red Sox lost the series, yet, are winners of thirteen of their last eighteen games.

Furthermore, they have picked up wins in eight of their last eleven road games, overall.  However, they must be focused for this particular set as they will have yet another matchup versus the Astros before returning home, yet again, for a three-game set with AL Central-leading Cleveland Indians.

During their streak, Boston has been able to make up some ground on the second-place Tampa Bay Rays along with the division leading New York Yankees.  And while hitting leader J.D. Martinez (.308) only had one hit for the Houston series, he obtained eleven hits, total, during their homestand.  And while their pitching staff continues to take its lumps from time to time, soon to be returned to the lineup will be David Price, after spending a couple of days on the injured reserve list due to elbow problems.

The Toronto Blue Jays, on the other hand, will return home after a long, seven-game road trip to where they went 3-3.  One can very well say that it was a very productive trip for a Blue Jays team that has dropped nine of their last twelve games, overall. Unfortunately, they have dropped four of their last five home games entering this series as they fell to the Chicago White Sox two games to one while also being swept by the Minnesota Twins on May 8th.  

During their matchup versus the Twins, the struggling Toronto lineup, which bats just .220 on the year, mustered only one run all series.  On the other hand, they fared slightly better versus the White Sox in plating a total of seven while allowing fifteen.

The Blue Jays, however, were able to give the Red Sox a run for their money in their earlier series in picking up the 7-5 win in the opener.  However, Boston was able to rally late in game two to take the finale by a 7-6 final.  Both pitchers for the matchup in Marcus Stroman along with Matt Shoemaker gave up only three earned runs.  On the other hand, the Blue Jays destroyed Boston’s staff in Chris Sale and now-injured Nathan Eovaldi for a total of ten earned runs.

Stroman looking for second win of the year

Stroman (1-6) will be looking to win his first outing on the mound in over a month as he will face the lineup for the Red Sox in game two.  And while one could not gauge his effectiveness on the mound from his overall record, it is worth mentioning that he possesses a 2.95 ERA for the season while allowing an average of 1.9 runs per game in his last ten starts. He has also pitched quality games in four of his last starts despite going 1-6-3 in his prior ten starts.

Stroman allowed just three earned runs on seven hits in his two matchups with Boston last year.  However, Toronto’s bullpen was not able to seal the deal as both ended in losses for the Blue Jays with Stroman picking up the no-decision in a 10-7 loss at Rogers Centre in August of 2018.

Andrew Benintendi, Xander Bogaerts and Mitch Moreland along with Christian Velasquez are all batting at least .300 versus Stroman lifetime.  However, Mookie Betts (.219), Jackie Bradley, Jr. (.095), along with Eduardo Nunez (.143) have struggled throughout their careers versus the right-hander.

Nunez allows five earned in loss to Rockies

Eduardo Nunez (4-2) has really been rolling on the mound lately for the Red Sox.  In fact, the team is 7-0 in Nunez’s last seven starts as he has certainly been assisted by a healthy amount of run support during this time.  Boston has posted a total of 67 runs in his last seven appearances on the mound while the left-hander has only allowed sixteen runs. However, Rodriguez failed to win his third straight game in his last time out after allowing five earned runs in a 6-5 win at home versus the Colorado Rockies on May 15th.  Despite pitching six innings while posting ten strikeouts, Tony Wolters hit two, key doubles during the contest for the Rockies as they picked up the win in extra innings.

Rodriguez pitched very well in his two outings versus the Blue Jays last season, all wins for Boston.  Nonetheless, in his only matchup with Toronto at Rogers Centre in April of 2018, he allowed three earned runs along with a homer in over six innings in a 4-3 win.  Randall Grichuk (.200 on 10 AB) along with Justin Smoak (.267 on 15 AB) have had the most experience and success for Toronto in facing Rodriguez.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet


And while the Blue Jays can be given a bit of credit after a rather successful road trip, they will fall in game two versus the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday.  Rodriguez will be looking to atone for a lackluster outing while also winning his fourth in six outings. He has also had success versus this Toronto lineup during his career.  In fact, every pitcher in the MLB has seemingly had some type of success versus a team that bats just .220.

Prediction: Pick:  Boston Red Sox -155

Full-Game Total Pick

I will strongly back the under for this contest as Stroman will continue his durability on the mound while limiting scoring opportunities versus a lineup that has had success versus him, yet, one that he has limited to only two earned runs in their last two meetings.  Rodriguez will tame the bats for an already cold offensive squad for the Blue Jays.

Prediction: Pick: Under 9

Full-Game Prop Bet

I am going to strongly ride with the Red Sox in this contest as they have more of an edge with Rodriguez on the mound.  Combine this with the success that Boston has had in recent meetings versus this inconsistent Blue Jays squad, look for them to shine in game two of this contest, as well, particularly after blasting Toronto for twelve runs in the opener on Monday night.

Prediction: Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5

First Five Innings Side Pick

Look for Boston to obtain some opportunities early in this contest in which to pull ahead of the lowly Blue Jays.  Also, expect them to rely on their pitcher to further dominate an offense for Toronto that has been difficult to watch throughout the season.  In all, look for the visitors to cover the run line after five innings.

Prediction: Pick: Boston Red Sox -0.5

First Five Innings Total Bet

While I expect the Red Sox to put some runs on the board early, I have a feeling that Stroman will come through stronger than usual versus Boston.  Remember, the offense has mainly been the problem for the Blue Jays this year.  In other words, look for the Red Sox to pull away early, yet, the under to cash in after five innings.

Prediction: Pick: Under 4.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

I will back the Red Sox in this instance as they have simply been the better team as of late.  Also, while Stroman will limit mistakes on the mound throughout his performance, look for Boston’s lineup to find a way in which to get some runs across the plate, thus cashing in on the money line at the halfway point.

Prediction: Pick: Boston Red Sox -160

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.


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