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Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 5-21-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#925 Miami
Marlins 8
#926 Detroit
Tigers -110

Tuesday, May 21, 2019 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami Marlins
C. SMITH

13 - 31

3
W's
1
L's
2.25
ERA
0.92
WHIP

Detroit Tigers
S. TURNBULL

18 - 26

2
W's
3
L's
2.4
ERA
1.25
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Detroit Tigers host the Miami Marlins on Tuesday in the first game of the three-game series. The Tigers come in with a record of 18-26 but they have lost 6 in a row.  The Miami Marlins have the worst record in baseball at 13-31 but they have win three in a row. The Tigers will start right-hander Spencer Turnbull (2-3), while the Marlins go with left-hander Caleb Smith (3-1).  Game time is 7:10 PM ET at Comerica Park in Detroit.

Marlins sweep Mets

The Miami Marlins have been putrid this year with a record of 13-31, but don’t look now — they have won 3 straight games.  They swept a 3-game series against the Mets over the weekend, winning the last two games with shutouts. They had been coming off a 7 game losing streak prior to that. On Saturday, the Marlins shut out the Mets 2-0 behind Pablo Lopez (3-5), who pitched a one-hitter through 7 innings. On Sunday, the Marlins blanked the Mets 3-0. Sandy Alcantara (2-4) allowed 2 hits in the complete game shutout. Neil Walker went 2 for 3 and Curtis Granderson had a home run and an RBI. Even with the winning streak, they are 13 games behind the Phillies in the NL East.

The Marlins offense is almost non-existent. They are dead last in the league scoring just 2.68 runs per game. They have a team batting average of .219 which is 28th in the league and a team slugging percentage of .312, which is last in the league. And they are last in home runs. Walker leads the Marlins with an average of .293, while Starlin Castro is hitting .225 with 3 home runs and 12 RBIs. Jorge Alfaro is batting .258 with a team-high 6 HRs and 13 RBIs, while Granderson is only hitting .179 with 5 HRs and 12 RBIs.

The only thing keeping the Marlins in games is their pitching, which is not great, but it has been better as of late. They have a team ERA of 4.55 ERA, which is 21st in the league, and a WHIP of 1.36, which is 21st. Caleb Smith will take the mound for the Marlins Tuesday. The left-hander has been the Marlins best starter this year. Smith is 3-1 on the year with an ERA of 2.25.

Tigers are in freefall

The Tigers were doing okay, exceeding expectations, until about two weeks ago. Since May 9 they have lost 8 of 10 games, including their last 6. The only thing that prevented them from losing their 7th straight game was Mother Nature. A storm came through Detroit Sunday afternoon that forced the game to be suspended until September 6. The Tigers were losing 5-3 at the time.  Now, they get a day off before they face the Marlins on Tuesday. So, they remain at 18-26, which puts them in 4th place in the AL Central, 11 games behind first-place Minnesota.

The Tigers are a horrible offensive team. They average 3.3 runs per game, which is 29th in the league and ahead of only Miami. They hit just .219 as a team, which is tied for 28th with the Marlins, and they have a slugging percentage of .366, which is 28th in baseball. They are 29th in home runs. Niko Goodrum is hitting .204 with 3 HR and 12 RBIs, while Miguel Cabrera is hitting .292 with 1 HR and 16 RBIs. Nick Castellanos is hitting .254 with 4 HRs and 13 RBIs, while John Hicks is hitting .244. Rookie Ronny Rodriguez has been a bright spot since he came up. Rodriguez is batting .271 with 6 HRs and 17 RBIs.

The Tigers pitching is not much better. They have a team ERA of 5.05, which is 25th in the MLB. They have a team WHIP of 1.43, which is also 25th in the league. Spencer Turnbull gets the start for the Tigers. The right-hander is 2-3 on the year with an ERA of 2.40. He has been the Tigers most consistent starter this year but he did get bombed in his last start.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take the Tigers. If you’re looking for a fast game without much action, you’ve come to the right place, These are probably the two worst teams in baseball — not probably, they are. They are ranked last and second to last in offense and their pitching isn’t much better. The good news is, each team’s best pitcher is going, so there’s that. But take the home team here to snap their losing streak. The Marlins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings overall.

Prediction: Detroit -115

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under. The line here is pretty low at 7.5. But still, these teams won’t crack 7 runs between them. They are the two worst offensive teams facing each other’s best pitcher. Look for something in the 4-2 range. The under is 6-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts on grass and 6-1 in his last 7 starts overall. Also, the under is 4-1 in Smiths last 5 starts on grass and 4-1 in his last 5 starts overall.

Prediction: Under

David Shields

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