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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 5-22-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#969 Boston
Red Sox -145
#970 Toronto
Blue Jays 9.5

Wednesday, May 22, 2019 at 7:07pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox
R. PORCELLO

25 - 23

3
W's
4
L's
4.79
ERA
1.4
WHIP

Toronto Blue Jays
A. SANCHEZ

20 - 28

3
W's
4
L's
3.88
ERA
1.51
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Boston Red Sox travel north of the border to face the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday in the final game of a three-game series. The Red Sox are 25-22 and in third place in the AL East while the Blue Jays are 19-28. Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (3-4) gets the start for the Blue Jays. The Red Sox have not yet named a starter for Wednesday’s game. Game time is 7:07 p.m. Eastern at Rogers Centre in Toronto.

Sox Look To Keep Their Offense Going

There was a lot of hand wringing in Boston in April after the defending champion Boston Red Sox got off to a horrible start. In one stretch they had the worst record in baseball. But now the Red Sox are back in business. They have won 7 of their last 10 games and are now 25-22 on the year, good for 3rd place in the AL East, just 4.5 games behind the first place Yankees.  They won the first game of the series against the Blue Jays on Monday by the score of 12-2. David Price returned from the injured list to get the win to improve to 2-2. He gave up 2 runs and 3 hits in 5 innings. The Sox were led by Xander Bogaerts and Mitch Moreland, who both had 3 hits, including a home run and 3 RBIs. Rookie phenom Michael Chavis had 2 hits, including a home run, and 2 RBIs. Jackie Bradley Jr, also hot a home run.

The Red Sox are starting to hit like the juggernaut that they were last year. They average 5.2 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have a team batting average of .257, which is 5th in the league, and a team slugging percentage of .432, which is 11th overall. Rookie Michael Chavis has been a breath of fresh air. In 98 at bats he’s hitting .296 with 9 home runs and 24 RBIs. Rafael Devers is batting .314 with 4 HRs and 24 RBIs, while JD Martinez is hitting .308 with 9 HRs and 29 RBIs. Mookie Betts has raised his average to .295 with 7 HRs and 23 RBIs, while Andrew Benintendi is hitting .268 with 5 HRs and 20 RBIs. Xander Bogaerts is batting ,285 with 8 HRs and 31 RBIs while Moreland is batting .239 but has a team-high 12 HRs and 31 RBIs.

Red Sox pitching has improved since the beginning of the year. They have a team ERA of 4.26, which is 16th in the league, and a team WHIP of 1.25, which is 8th.  Rodriguez takes the hill for Boston Wednesday. Rodriguez is 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.65 and opponents bat .302 against him. The Sox have not yet named a starter for this game, but this is the spot where Rick Porcello would start so we’ll see if he gets the nod. Porcello is 3-4.

Jays Look To Slow Boston Down

The Blue Jays got off to a decent start this year but the natural order of the AL East is beginning to take shape. The Red Sox and Yankees are moving up, the Rays and Blue Jays are starting to move down. In the last 18 games, they are 13-5 to fall to 19-28, 10.5 games behind the Yankees. They got blitzed by the Sox in the opening game of this series 12-2. Starter Edwin Jackson (0-1) gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 5 innings to take the loss. The bullpen also got hit pretty hard. The only offensive highlight came from Luke Maile, who hit a home run and drove in 2 runs.

The Blue Jays average 3.9 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have a team batting average of .228 which is 25th in the league, and they have a slugging percentage of .375, which is 24th. Freddy Galvis leads the Blue Jays with an average of .263 with 6 HRs and 18 RBIs, while Randal Grichuk is hitting .237 with 7 HRs and 18 RBIs. Justin Smoak is hitting .218 with 6 HRs and 21 RBIs, while Rowdy Tellez is hitting .242 with 6 HRs and 19 RBIs. Rookie Vladimir Guerrero Jr, is batting .235 with 4 HRs and 10 RBIs in 68 at bats, while Eric Sogard is hitting .295 with 4 HRs and 13 RBIs.

The Blue Jays have a team ERA of 4.00, which is 11th in the MLB. They have a WHIP at 1.31, which is 12th in the league. Aaron Sanchez gets the start for Toronto. The right-hander is 3-4 with an ERA of 3.89.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take the Red Sox here. These are two teams heading in different directions. The Sox have won 7 of their last 10 and the Jays have lost 13 of their last 18. The Sox haven’t named a starter yet but it’s Rick Porcello’s spot in the rotation so it’s likely he’ll get the start. The Blue Jays don’t have enough firepower to outslug the Sox so they will lose here.

Prediction: Boston -149

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I like the over here. Aaron Sanchez has struggled this year and against the Red Sox, he will have his hands full. Given that the Sox have not named a starter yet, they may be resting Porcello so it could mean a spot start by someone further the depth chart. If so, the Blue Jays could take advantage. The oer is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 9-2 in their last 11 on astroturf. Plus, the over is 6-2 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Over

David Shields

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