Featured Video from Scott Reichel
The Los Angeles Dodgers won big in the first game of this series against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and will be looking to follow it up here. They’ll have Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound here, while Joe Musgrove will start for the Pirates. Oddsmakers have the Dodgers as relatively large favorites for this one.
The Dodgers have had a great run of success the last couple of years, and are looking to make it back to their third straight World Series in 2019. That sure looks possible, as they once again look like the best team in the National League, entering this one with a 33-18 record. They’re 7-2 in their last nine games, and fortunately they’ll have Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound here. Ryu has arguably been the best pitcher in the majors this season, and he’s indisputably been the best pitcher over the last month or so. In his last three starts he hasn’t given up a single run, and he’s lasted very deep into each game, tossing 24 total innings.
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) May 25, 2019
His WHIP is an absurd 0.74, which shows that he hasn’t been getting lucky at all and that this isn’t a fluke. Ryu already pitched against this Pirates team last month and he was dominant, striking out ten Pittsburgh batters. The Dodgers also have the best lineup in the National League, and they’ve scored the most runs in the NL this season. Cody Bellinger is still hitting over .400 this year, and the lineup shouldn’t have much trouble against Musgrove. They won the first game of this series 10-2, and I think this one could look a lot similar.
Pirates Getting Exposed
This Pirates team has been bugging me all year. I’ve been banging the anti-Pittsburgh drum the entire year, and it’s about time that they get exposed. They’ve been playing terrible baseball the whole season, yet they still enter this one two games above .500. Thankfully that appears to be correcting itself, as they’ve now lost three of their last four games. The Pirates have a -50 run differential this season. Only the Marlins, Giants, Orioles, and Tigers have worse figures this season, yet somehow the Pirates are still over .500. It’s not going to last, and you should continue to fade them while there’s still value. They got smoked in the first game of this series, and that should happen again here.
Joe Musgrove will start here, and he got off to a hot start this season but predictably has been collapsing ever since. Over his last four starts, he’s given up 19 runs. Pittsburgh is just 4-10 in their last 14 home games, so oddsmakers are clearly giving them too much credit for a perceived home-field advantage here. The Pirates have been dominated in this matchup lately, going 5-16 the last 21 times they’ve played the Dodgers. They also haven’t been able to hit Ryu, as they’ve lost five straight times that they’ve faced him. This one could get pretty ugly.
- 4-10 in their last 14 home games
- 0-4 in Musgrove’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest
- 5-14 in their last 19 vs. National League West
- 4-1 in Ryu’s last 5 starts
- 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. Pirates
- 7-2 in their last 9 overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Dodgers are a great play, even as large favorites. Ryu has been dominant recently, and he has a great history against this Pirates team, as the Dodgers have won each of his last five starts against Pittsburgh. The Pirates have been overrated all season long, and there’s value in fading them until they come crashing down.
Prediction: Dodgers -175
Full-Game Total Pick
I also like the under a lot here. Ryu has been pitching nearly entire games, and pitching extremely well recently. He’s been untouchable, and there’s no way this very weak Pirates lineup will be able to get to him here. If Musgrove can just avoid melting down here, which he should be able to considering he’s been decent overall, this game will easily stay under.