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The San Diego Padres travel to Toronto to face the Blue Jays Sunday in the final game of a three-game series. The Padres won the first game of the series and are 26-24 while the Blue Jays are 20-31. Right-hander Chris Paddack (4-2) gets the start for San Diego while right-hander Marcus Stroman (2-6) is slated to get the start for the Blue Jays. Game time is 1:07 p.m. Eastern at Rogers Centre in Toronto. Edit: Pitching Change: Robbie Erlin will get the nod for the Padres.
(This Was Written Prior To Last Night’s Game)
Renfroe leads San Diego to win
The San Diego Padres took the first game of the series on Friday 6-3. The hero of the game was Hunter Renfroe, who blasted a three-run homer in the top of the 8th to break open a 3-3 tie. Matt Wisler (2-1) got the win in relief of Joey Lucchesi, who allowed only 3 runs on 3 hits in 6.2 innings. Greg Garcia and Austin hedges also homered for San Diego. Not including Saturday’s game between these two, the Padres are 27-24 and in second place in the NL West.
— FOX Sports San Diego (@FOXSportsSD) May 25, 2019
The Padres only average 3.8 runs per game, which ranks 28th in the majors. They have a team batting average of .228, which ranks 24th in the league, and a slugging percentage of .406, which is 21st. They are 13th in home runs. San Diego has been led 23-year-old Franmil Reyes, who is batting .253 with 15 HRs and 27 RBIs. Eric Hosmer is hitting .284 with 7 HRs and 29 RBIs, while Manny Machado is hitting .269 with 9 HRs and 26 RBIs. Will Myers is hitting .222 with 7 HRs and 15 RBIs, while Hunter Renfroe is batting .230 with 12 HRs and 26 RBIs. Rookie Fernando Tatis Jr , who is on the injured list, is hitting .300 with 6 HRs and 13 RBIs.
The Padres pitching has been very good, particularly the bullpen. They have a team ERA to 3.85, which is 9th in the majors. They have a team WHIP of 1.18, which is 4th, and one of the most effective bullpens in the NL. Right-hander Chris Paddock takes the mound Sunday for the Padres. Paddack has been their best pitcher at 4-2 with a 1.93 ERA.
Blue Jays bad run continues
The Blue Jays fell to 20-31 after a 6-3 loss to San Diego on Friday. It was their third straight loss and 4th in the last 5 games. Their bullpen let them down in this one. Trent Thornton put them in position to win, pitching 6 innings of 3-run ball. But reliever Daniel Hudson couldn’t hold the lead, allowing a 3-run homer to Hunter Renfroe in the 8th. Freddie Galvis had 2 hits, including a home run, and 2 RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel also hit a home run for Toronto. Not counting Saturday’s game they are in 4th place in the AL East, 13 games behind New York.
The Blue Jays average just 3.7 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have a team batting average of .216 which is dead last in the league, and they have a slugging percentage of .369, which is 26th. Galvis leads the Blue Jays with an average of .271 with 7 HRs and 21 RBIs, while Randal Grichuk is hitting .237 with 8 HRs and 19 RBIs. Justin Smoak is hitting .217 with 8 HRs and 23 RBIs, while Rowdy Tellez is hitting .248 with 9 HRs and 25 RBIs. Rookie Vladimir Guerrero Jr, is batting .230 with 5 HRs and 11 RBIs, while Brandon Drury is hitting .216 with 5 HRs and 14 RBIs.
The Blue Jays have a team ERA of 4.09, which is 11th in the MLB. They have a WHIP at 1.32, which is 13th in the league. Marcus Stroman gets the start for Toronto. The right-hander is 2-6 with an ERA of 2.65. He’s pitched much better than his record would indicate, but has not gotten the run support.
- Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 10-4 in Stroman’s last 14 interleague starts.
- Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 interleague road games.
- Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 Sunday games.
- Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.
- Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games on astroturf.
- Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Take the Blue Jays in the series finale. This is an excellent pitching match up. Stroman is just 2-6, but has pitched well enough to win a lot of those games — he just hasn’t gotten any run support. Paddack has been excellent as well. I like the Jays because they are home and they have been surprisingly good in interleague games. The Blue Jays need to take their wins where they can get them and they will get one here.
Full-Game Total Pick
Take the under. Neither one of these teams hit very well, ranked at or near the bottom of the league in batting average. With two good pitchers throwing, look for the total to be in the under. The under is 6-0 in Paddack’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Plus, the under is 10-4 in Stromans last 14 home starts.