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The struggling Seattle Mariners will host the surprisingly solid Texas Rangers here as these two AL West rivals kickoff a series. Lance Lynn will get the start for the Rangers, with Tommy Milone getting the nod for Seattle. Despite their struggles, oddsmakers have the Mariners as slight favorites here for this one.
Rangers Staying Solid
The Rangers haven’t been great this season, but they haven’t been bad either, and you can’t really ask for much more from them this season. Texas is rebuilding, and most observers expected them to finish in last place in the division.
But they’ve been surprisingly decent, entering this one with an even 25-25 record. They’ve been very solid recently, winning five of their last seven games. They just played the Mariners last week and swept them, so I think they have their number. Overall, they’ve won five straight games against the Mariners. Lance Lynn will be on the mound here, and while he’s not spectacular, you know what you’re going to get with him. Lynn is a longtime veteran who is very sturdy, and he always manages to make it deep into games. He’s thrown at least seven innings in four of his last five starts, and he has a 3.18 ERA in those five outings.
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He’s already pitched twice against the Mariners this season, and he’s dominated both times. Last week he pitched seven innings and only gave up two runs while striking out 11, and back in April he only gave up one run in seven innings while striking out nine. The Rangers have won four of Lynn’s last five starts, and he clearly has Seattle’s number. Texas’ lineup has also been solid lately, so I’d be wary of making them an underdog here…
The Mariners have been sad to watch recently. Last year they started hot but then faded, and there was a ton of optimism surrounding the team heading into this season. They got off to a really hot start, racing out to a 13-2 record. Unfortunately last year has been repeating itself, but even worse. They’ve since completely collapsed. and are just 10-30 since then. Nothing they’ve been doing is working, and they’ve lost nine of their last ten games entering this one. As they desperately try to get things turned around, they’ll have Tommy Milone on the mound here. Milone is a journeyman 32-year-old who has only made one start in the majors this season. To put it simply, there’s a reason he was in the minors to start the year at the age of 32.
He’s been terrible everywhere he’s been in recent years, with an ERA above 5.71 in three straight seasons for varying teams. As such, I’m not too optimistic about how he’ll fare against an underrated Texas lineup here. Seattle has lost five straight games to the Rangers, and their bullpen has been really bad recently. Even if Milone manages to skate by here, which he won’t, the bullpen will likely blow it. The Mariners will also be without both Dee Gordon and Ryon Healy here, both of whom just got injured. They’re both starters, so it’s a pretty big loss.
- 6-20 in their last 26 overall.
- 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Wes
- 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series
- 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Mariners
- 5-2 in their last 7 overall
- 4-1 in Lynn’s last 5 starts
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Rangers are a steal here at even money. The Mariners have been ice cold recently, and they’ve looked like arguably the worst team in the majors over the past month-plus. They’re banged up and haven’t shown any encouraging signs of progress, so I can’t see why they’re favored with a 32-year-old journeyman here.
Prediction: Rangers +100
Full-Game Total Pick
The over also has a lot of value here. Milone is terrible, and he’s a journeyman who has spent most of the last couple of seasons in the minors. He’s bound to get rocked, and a total of 9.5 is way too low. Seattle’s offense actually hasn’t been the problem during their recent awful stretch, it’s been the pitching staff. They can still score, and this one should be very high scoring.