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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves,
6-13-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#901 New York
Mets -100
#902 Atlanta
Braves 8

Wednesday, June 13, 2018 at 12:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

New York Mets (28-34) vs. Atlanta Braves (37-28)

Where and when:  SunTrust Park, Atlanta, Georgia, Wednesday, 12:10 pm EST

The finale of a 2-game series between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will take place at SunTrust Park in Atlanta, Georgia, on Wednesday beginning at 12:10 pm EST.  The Mets now occupy the 4th place slot within the NL East division while the Braves are 2nd in the division, altogether.  In their last outing, the Mets lost a 3-game home set to the Yankees on 6-10-2018, yet, picked up the narrow 2-0 win in the finale.  For the Braves, they suffered a 3-game road set loss to the Dodgers by losing the finale on 6-10-2018 by a score of 7-2.  This will be the 4th matchup of these two teams this year with the Braves winning 7 of the last 10 games while splitting the last 4-game set at SunTrust Park on 5-30-2018.

The New York Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 0-5.  The Mets are averaging 3.82 runs per game (27th) with a team batting average of .230 (26th), 63 homers (25th), along with 27 stolen bases on the year (19th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.03 (16th) with 585 strikeouts (7th) and 27 quality starts (17th).

Wheeler Looking to Build from Last Outings

Jacob DeGrom (4-1) will get the start in game 2 looking to build off his last outing when he pitched 8 innings while allowing 3 runs on just 4 hits, 2 walks, 1 homer and 8 strikeouts in a tough-luck 4-1 home loss to the New York Yankees 6-8-2018.  In his last outing versus the Braves, DeGrom pitched 7 innings while allowing 1 runs on 5 hits, 3 walks, 1 homer, and 8 strikeouts in a 4-3 road loss on 5-28-2018.

Nick Markakis (.304 BA on 23 AB), Tyler Flowers (.429 BA on 7 AB), and Johan Camargo (1-3) have each had experience and a bit of success against DeGrom in the past while Freddie freeman (.250 BA on 28 AB), Ender Inciarte (.222 BA on 18 AB), and Dansby Swanson (1-3) have also had some success against the right-hander in the past.  Ozzie Albies, Peter Bourjos, and Kurt Suzuki are all a combined 0-10 against the righty in their careers.

Soroko Needs More Consistency at the Mound

The Braves are losers of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 4-1.  For the season, Atlanta is averaging 4.95 runs per game (5th) with a team batting average of .261 (4th), 76 homers (15th) along with 40 stolen bases (8th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.68 (10th) with 579 strikeouts (10th) along with 27 quality starts on the season (16th).

Michael Soroka (1-1) will come to the hill for the Braves in the finale looking to improve upon his mechanics against a team that has certainly not impressed at all at the plate recently.  In his last outing, Soroka pitched only 4.2 innings while giving up 5 runs on 8 hits, 1 walk, and 7 strikeouts in a 10-5 road win to the Marlins on 5-12-2018.  In his last outing versus the Mets, the right-hander pitched 6 innings while allowing 1 run on 6 hits, 1 homer, and 5 strikeouts in a 3-2 win at CitiField on 5-1-2018.  This will be Soroko’s first matchup against this Mets lineup, however, he must be licking his chops at the thought of facing a lineup that has only averaged 1.4 runs per game in their last 9.

Trends

  • The Mets are 3-13 in last 16 games
  • The Mets are 3-13 in last 16 games on grass
  • The Braves are 7-3 in last 10 Wednesday games
  • The Braves are 7-3 in last 10 home games
  • The Under is 9-1-1 in Braves last 11 Wednesday games

With the type of stretch the Braves have had in their past few games, a series with the lowly Mets could be just the series needed in which to allow Atlanta to regroup at home and improve upon their mechanics not only against a team that is currently struggling, but, one who the Braves have dominated in the past.  I fully expect DeGrom to pitch as solid as ever, yet, Soroko will also pitch well enough to allow the Braves an opportunity to wear down DeGrom, thus allowing the Mets to rely on their shaky pitching staff to get the win.  In all, the Braves will indeed win this matchup and continue to set a positive tone for this weekend series.

Pick:  Atlanta Braves

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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