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San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals,
6-13-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#911 San Diego
Padres 8.5
#912 St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals -190

Wednesday, June 13, 2018 at 8:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres
E. LAUER

32 - 37

2
W's
4
L's
6.64
ERA
2.06
WHIP

St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals
L. WEAVER

36 - 29

3
W's
5
L's
4.61
ERA
1.33
WHIP

San Diego Padres (32-37 SU 33-34 O/U) at St. Louis Cardinals (36-29 SU 24-36 O/U)

MLB: Wednesday, June 13, 2018 at 8:15 p.m. ET

The Padres have won three of their last four games and while in the basement of the NL West and five games under .500 they are only 6.5 games out of first place. Their pitching has been solid as of late, as in their last six games they have given up an average of 2.7 runs per game. San Diego has lost 13 of their last 19 games facing the Cardinals.

After winning three in a row the Cardinals have lost two of their last three games. They sit in 3rd place in the NL Central three games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. St. Louis’ issue this season has been at the plate while they rank a solid 8th in the Majors in team ERA. They are 46-17 in their last 63 home games against the Padres.

3rd inning the charm

The Padres won the second game of this series 4-2, as they scored three of their four runs in the third inning. They scored four runs on seven hits and Eric Hosmer went deep for his 9th HR of the season. San Diego used all relievers in the game, five of them, taking a no-hitter into the 6th inning and Adam Cimber got the win only giving up one hit in three innings. Eric Lauer (2-4 6.64 ERA) gets the call in this series finale and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs on six hits in five innings in a 4-0 loss to the Miami Marlins. The Padres have lost five of his last six starts and he faced the Cardinals on May 11th and was tagged up for six earned runs failing to make it out of the 3rd inning in a 9-5 loss. San Diego has lost Lauer’s last five road starts. Hosmer leads the Padres batting .286, is batting .316 in June and has hit safely in four of his last five games. Christian Villanueva leads the club in HR and RBI and while he had an RBI in Game 2 of this series he is only batting .190 in June. On the season the Padres are 14-16 on the road.

One frame not enough

In losing Game 2 of this series, the Cardinals scored both of their runs in the 7th inning and they only had a total of five hits. Miles Mikolas suffered his 2nd loss of the season giving up three earned runs on six hits in six innings. Luke Weaver (3-5 4.35 ERA) goes for St. Louis in this game and in his last start he gave up four earned runs on seven hits in five innings in a 7-6 win over the Cincinnati Reds. After losing three in a row with him on the hill the Cardinals have won his last two starts where he took a no decision each time totaling 10 innings and giving up five earned runs. He opposed Lauer on May 11th and had a good outing tossing five scoreless innings and giving up four hits. In two career starts against the Padres Weaver is 2-0 and has not given up any runs in 12 innings and has struck out 14 batters. The Cardinals are 8-2 in Weaver’s last 10 starts facing a team with a losing record. Jose Martinez leads St. Louis in batting average, HR, and RBI and he had his nine-game hitting streak snapped in the Game 2 loss. This season the Cardinals are 201-5 at home.

Trends

The San Diego Padres are:

  • 8-17 in their last 25 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game
  • 16-35 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game
  • 17-39 in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

The St. Louis Cardinals are:

  • 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss
  • 14-5 in their last 19 home games vs. a left-handed starter

The Cardinals have lost their last four games facing a left-hand starter, but they lit up Lauer earlier this season hitting four HR off him. Their offense will get to him again and while Weaver may not have the best outing the lineup will have his back. The Cardinals will win this series finale and take the series as well.

PICK: Cardinals

Jason Green

I dig every sport and the NFL is my favorite. My team is the Redskins and my 2nd favorite is whoever is playing the Cowboys! I am a great handicapper and if you don’t believe me just ask. I don’t just write about betting on games I actually bet on them and I have done well, which is why it is a good idea to follow my picks.

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