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Chicago Cubs vs. L.A. Dodgers
MLB: Thursday, June 13, 2019 at 10:10 PM EST
The Cubs have recently lost two straight after a big three-game home sweep of their biggest rival in the St. Louis Cardinals. In that series, they only gave up six runs, but in losing their next two games they gave up 16 runs. Chicago is battling it out right in tow with the Milwaukee Brewers for the top spot in the NL Central. For the season the team has been solid at the plate and on the mound, but they have lost seven of their last nine games facing the Dodgers in La La Land.
After a stretch of winning nine of 10 games, the Dodgers have cooled down losing their last two games and dropping four of their last six. They still have a very comfortable lead in the NL West nine games clear of 2nd place Colorado. L.A. ranks in the top five in MLB in both runs scored and team ERA but have only totaled six runs in losing two in a row.
Lester has been rocky as of late
Jon Lester (5-4 3.56 ERA) gets the nod in this series opener for the Cubs and he has not been sharp in four of his last five starts giving up four runs in each. In his last outing he gave up four runs on five hits in six innings, but, got a lot of help from the lineup in a 9-4 win over the Cardinals. Lester’s previous outing was a great one only giving up one run in seven innings in a Chicago win. Lester faced the Dodgers at home in late April giving up one run in five innings in a 2-1 Cubs loss.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) June 11, 2019
The Cubs have recently dropped five straight on the road but have won four of their last five games facing a left-handed starter. Still, they have a tough task in this game facing Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw. Anthony Rizzo leads the club in HR and RBI and he recently went deep, which snapped his eight-game homer-less streak. The balanced Chicago lineup has five players that have at least 13 HR. Kyle Schwarber has been hot this month with three HR and seven RBI.
Dodgers take first loss with Ace on the hill
The Dodgers had won Kershaw’s (5-1 3.00 ERA) first nine starts of the season before his last one where he also took his first loss giving up two runs in seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the San Francisco Giants. He has not given up more than three runs in any of his last five starts and while this is his first start of the season against the Cubs the Dodgers are 6-2 in his last eight home starts facing them. L.A. has won 48 of Kershaw’s last 60 home starts.
Cody Bellinger is still in the Triple Crown race and an early MVP candidate, but he is in a slump. He is only batting .172 this month, does not have an RBI in his last five games, and has not gone yard in his last 11 games. On the season, Los Angeles is an NL best 25-7 at home.
The L.A. Dodgers are:
- 40-13 in their last 53 home games
- 37-15 in their last 52 overall
- 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League Central
- 21-5 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record
The Chicago Cubs are:
- 0-5 in their last 5 road games
- 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
- 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Dodgers have their Ace on the hill and while Kershaw has not been dominant, he has been solid. On the other side of the coin Lester has not been sharp in four of his last five starts. I do not see him having a bad game, but he will not outduel Kershaw. This game will be a pitcher’s duel where the Dodgers will win and add to the best home record in the NL.
Prediction: PICK: Dodgers
Full-Game Total Pick
In Kershaw’s last eight home starts facing the Cubs the Under record is 5-2-1. L.A. has only given Kershaw five runs of support in his last two starts and they will not help him out much in this game. This game will be a pitcher’s duel and because of that the Under is the smart pick.
Prediction: PICK: Under