Upcoming Free Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction,
and Odds - 6-13-2019

This is a past game! View all upcoming MLB games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#951 Pittsburgh
Pirates 9
#952 Atlanta
Braves -150

Thursday, June 13, 2019 at 12:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Pittsburgh Pirates

30 - 37


Atlanta Braves

39 - 29


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

Where: SunTrust Park, Cumberland Georgia

When: Thursday, June 13, 2019, 12:10 pm Eastern

We have a National League MLB matchup to consider for Thursday when the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves meet for game four of their four-game series under sunny skies and temps in the lower 80’s. This preview was written prior to the conclusion of the Wednesday night slate of games and all opinions are based on the stats from the completed play from Tuesday night.

Pittsburgh is fourth in the National League Central Division and plans for righty Joe Musgrove to make the start against Atlanta. The Braves is tied for first place with the Philadelphia Phillies in the National League East and expects right-hander Julio Teheran to pitch against the Pirates. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.

Pittsburgh Five Game Losing Streak

Pittsburgh has hit a rough patch where they’ve lost five games in a row and eight of their last ten. Making matters worse is they’ve been outscored by 86 runs and have been outscored in their series with Atlanta by eight runs. Josh Bell leads Pittsburgh in just about every offensive category and has 18 home runs with 60 RBI to go along with a .390 OBP and .324 batting average.

The Pirates pitching staff has been decimated with injuries along with their starting catcher Francisco Cervelli and none of them will be activated for Thursday’s matchup with the Braves.

Musgrove (4-6, 4.40 ERA) has a 1.19 WHIP and his 4.60 xFIP suggests maybe Musgrove has been a bit lucky this season. Musgrove strikes out 7.09 per nine innings with 2.44 walks and allows 0.86 home runs per nine innings pitched.

Musgrove has a 43 percent groundball rate with a 38 percent hard contact rate with 8.9 percent of his fly balls leaving the yard and that could be problematic against the Braves and its .196 ISO and 5.3 runs scored per game with 55 home runs at SunTrust Park over 33 home games. Atlanta has a low strikeout rate and high walk rate against righties, so Musgrove needs to be careful Thursday afternoon.

Braves Five Game Winning Streak

Atlanta is starting to get things going and has won five straight along with eight of its last ten games and is tied for first with Philadelphia for the top spot in the National League East. Atlanta has outscored its opponents by 23 runs and has an 18-15 record at SunTrust Park. Infielder Freddie Freeman leads Atlanta with 18 jacks and leads the team with a .306 batting average and team-high.395 OBP. Outfielder Ronald Acuna leads the Braves with 45 RBI this season.

The Braves have injuries heading into Wednesday’s game with Pittsburgh and Josh Donaldson has been suspended for one game for his involvement in a fight with pitcher Joe Musgrove. Donaldson can appeal so his status is up in the air for Wednesday.

Teheran (4-4, 3.03 ERA) has a 1.20 WHIP and his 4.83 xFIP suggests Teheran has been lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. Teheran strikes out 8.61 per nine innings pitched with 4.31 walks and allows 0.93 bombs per nine innings pitched.

Teheran has a 40 percent groundball rate with a 40 percent hard contact rate and 10 percent of his fly balls go for home runs. Teheran may have some trouble with the Pirates .168 ISO and 4.2 runs per game plus their 36 bombs they’ve hit on the road this season. Pittsburgh doesn’t strike out much and has a low walk rate so Teheran may get away with those 4.4 walks per nine innings he allows.

Updated on Jun 13 at 12:00am EDT

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

Injury / Weather Report

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

We won’t get a good price on the money line but if we play the Braves at -1.5 we can Cash with the Flash and I think the Braves are going to score plenty off Musgrove Thursday afternoon. Musgrove is better on the road than at home but Teheran has been a beast at SunTrust and I look for that to continue Thursday against the slumping Pirates.

Cash with the Flash and play Atlanta -1.5 on the run line!!

Prediction: Braves -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

The Braves score runs at home and the Pirates can also so I see this game exceeding the total. Especially with the two bullpens and their 11 combined blown saves this season. I saw this trend I think might be helpful on Thursday afternoon.

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trip Gibson III is behind the dish Thursday and these trends caught my eye;

  • Over is 6-1 in Gibson IIIs last 7 Thursday games behind home plate.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Gibson IIIs last 7 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.

Cash with the Flash and play OVER on Thursday.

Prediction: Over

Phil Naessens

Coming Soon!


Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Wednesday, Jun 26
#911 Chicago White Sox 9
#912 Boston Red Sox -345
View Pick
#913 Toronto Blue Jays 10
#914 New York Yankees -250
View Pick
#915 Kansas City Royals 9.5
#916 Cleveland Indians -205
View Pick
#921 San Diego Padres -120
#922 Baltimore Orioles 10
View Pick
#901 Los Angeles Dodgers -135
#902 Arizona Diamondbacks 10
View Pick
#903 Colorado Rockies -135
#904 San Francisco Giants 8
View Pick
#905 New York Mets 11
#906 Philadelphia Phillies -155
View Pick
#907 Washington Nationals -145
#908 Miami Marlins 7.5
View Pick
#917 Texas Rangers 9
#918 Detroit Tigers -110
View Pick
#923 Oakland Athletics 10
#924 St. Louis Cardinals -140
View Pick
#909 Atlanta Braves 9.5
#910 Chicago Cubs -125
View Pick
#925 Cincinnati Reds 9
#926 Los Angeles Angels -115
View Pick
#919 Tampa Bay Rays -105
#920 Minnesota Twins -105
View Pick
#927 Pittsburgh Pirates 9.5
#928 Houston Astros -220
View Pick
#929 Seattle Mariners
#930 Milwaukee Brewers
View Pick
Thursday, Jun 27
#965 Oakland Athletics
#966 Los Angeles Angels
View Pick
Friday, Jun 28
#913 Arizona Diamondbacks
#914 San Francisco Giants
View Pick