Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Comerica Park, Detroit Michigan
When: Sunday, June 16, 2019, 1:10 pm Eastern
We have an American League Central Division matchup when the Cleveland Indians and Detroit Tigers meet for game three of their three-game series under threatening skies and temps in the mid-seventies. This preview was written prior to the conclusion of Saturday MLB contests and the opinions shared are based on the stats from Friday night MLB action.
Cleveland is second in the American League Central division and plans for righty Trevor Bauer to get the start against Detroit. The Tigers is fourth in the Central and scheduled right-hander Spencer Turnbull to pitch against the Indians. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Injury Riddled Starting Pitching Staff
Cleveland’s pitching staff has been decimated by injuries, but the Tribe is starting to play better baseball and has won six of its last ten games including game one of this series with the Tigers by a score of 13-4. Infielder Carlos Santana leads Cleveland with 14 bombs and 42 RBI and infielder Francisco Lindor leads the team with a .303 batting average.
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) June 15, 2019
The Indians aren’t listing any significant injuries other than ones they’ve been dealing with for at least the last few weeks.
Bauer (4-6, 3.71 ERA) has a 1.18 WHIP and his 4.54 xFIP suggests maybe Bauer has been lucky this season and could see some regression. Bauer has a 40 percent groundball rate with 13 percent of his fly balls allowed going over the outfield fence. Detroit doesn’t have much power and has hit 22 bombs at Comerica and that should be beneficial to Bauer as he 1.18 bombs per nine innings pitched. Detroit has a high strikeout and low walk rate and Bauer and his 9.88 strikeouts per nine innings should feast on Detroit Sunday afternoon.
Tigers Two Game Losing Streak
Detroit is fourth in the Central division and has lost seven of its last ten games including entering Saturday’s game with Cleveland hoping to end a two-game losing streak. Outfielder Jacoby Jones leads Detroit with eight home runs and infielder/DH Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers .286 batting average and a team-high 29 RBI this season.
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) June 15, 2019
The Tigers do have injuries and hasn’t listed any significant injuries for the last ten days.
Turnbull (3-5, 2.78 ERA) has a 1.26 WHIP and his 4.47 xFIP suggests Turnbull has been lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. Cleveland is one of the lowest scoring road teams in the American League but has hit 38 bombs this season and has a .166 ISO against righties. Turnbull is primarily a groundball pitcher with a low home allowed rate and eight percent of his fly balls leaving the yard still needs to be careful with the Indians high walk rate but Turnbull could exploit the Indians 23 percent strikeout rate Sunday afternoon.
- Tigers are 1-5 in Turnbull’s last 6 starts.
- Tigers are 1-5 in Turnbull’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Tigers are 0-4 in Turnbull’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
- Indians are 4-1 in Bauer’s last 5 starts vs. Tigers.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I’m not a big fan of the Indians on the road but I like Bauer on the road and his road splits are much better than the Bauer at home. The Tigers offense is anemic and for whatever reason Turnbull has a tough time pitching at Comerica.
Cash with the Flash and take Cleveland to beat Detroit on Sunday.
Full-Game Total Pick
Neither offense is very consistent and if the Bauer I think shows up at Comerica Park, there is going to be very few runs scored Sunday afternoon. Plus the weather isn’t supposed to be very good and that should limit the runs. I saw these trends I think might be helpful for Sunday.
- Under is 4-0 in Bauers last 4 road starts vs. Tigers.
- Under is 4-0 in Bauers last 4 starts vs. Tigers.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Sunday!!