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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction,
and Odds - 6-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#921 Kansas City
Royals 9.5
#922 Minnesota
Twins -185

Sunday, June 16, 2019 at 2:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Kansas City Royals

22 - 48


Minnesota Twins

47 - 22


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins

Where: Target Field, Minneapolis Minnesota

When: Sunday, June 16, 2019, 2:10 pm Eastern

We have an American League Central division matchup to consider for Sunday afternoon when the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins meet under partly cloudy skies and temps in the lower 70’s for game three of their three-game series. This write-up was published prior to the end of Saturday MLB action and all opinions are based on the stats from the Friday MLB slate of games.

The Royals are last in the Central division and plan for right-hander Jakob Junis to hurl against the Twins. Minnesota is first in the Central division and intends to start lefty Martin Perez against the Royals. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.

Royals 8-24 Road Record This Season

Kansas City is rebuilding and has lost seven of their last ten games and enters Saturday’s game with Minnesota hoping to end a one-game losing streak. Kansas City has been outscored by 70 runs this season and has a miserable 8-24 road record this season. Outfielder/DH Jorge Soler leads Kansas City with 17 home runs and a team-high 47 RBI and infielder Hunter Dozier leads the Royals with a .314 batting average this season.

Dozier is still out with a chest injury and is the only significant injury Kansas City listed for Saturday.

Junis (4-6, 5.35 ERA) has a 1.43 WHIP and his 4.57 xFIP suggests maybe Junis has been unlucky and could see some positive regression at some point this season. Junis has a 46 percent groundball rate with 17 percent of his fly balls going for home runs and he’s up against it with a Twins offense that’s blasted 57 bombs at Target Field and boasts a .249 ISO and wRC+ of 121 against righties this season. Minnesota has a low strikeout an average walk rate and Junis allowing 3.19 walks per nine could be problematic Sunday afternoon.

Minnesota MLB Leading 133 Home Runs

Minnesota has taken the American League Central Division by storm and bashing an MLB leading 133 home runs on their way to a 46-22 record and 22-10 record at Target Field this season. Minnesota also leads baseball with a 117 run differential and leading the Twins with 19 home runs and 52 RBI is outfielder Eddie Rosario and infielder Jorge Polanco leads Minnesota with a .395 OBP this season.

The Twins have injury concerns with the most significant being outfielder Byron Buxton being listed as day to day with a wrist bruise. Buxton has a .324 OBP with nine bombs and 38 RBI over 207 at-bats this season.

Perez (7-2, 3.97 ERA) has a 1.45 WHIP and his 4.49 xFIP suggests Perez has been lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. Perez has a 45 percent ground ball rate with nine percent of his fly balls go for dingers this season. Kansas City has some power and has hit 37 home runs away from Kauffman Stadium with a below average .135 ISO and wRC+ of 74 against southpaws this season. Kansas City has a high strikeout and average walk rate that could be good for a pitcher like Perez averaging just over eight strikeouts but 4.22 walks per nine innings pitched this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This might quickly turn into a rout on Sunday as Junis offers too many walks and could lead to a couple of three-run jacks with the way Minnesota has hit the ball this season. Perez has a high WHIP and high xFIP but somehow finds ways to win and that is going to be the difference in this game on Sunday.

Cash with the Flash and play the Twins -1.5 runs on the run line.

Prediction: Minnesota -1.5 Runs

Full-Game Total Pick

We don’t have a total to point to but expect it to be high and I think this game is going to exceed whatever total Vegas sets. We know what the Twins do at home and Perez isn’t exactly Nolan Ryan so we must expect Kansas City to score a few runs. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful on Sunday.

  • Over is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Over is 37-17-3 in the last 57 meetings.

Cash with the Flash and play OVER on Sunday.

Prediction: Over

Phil Naessens

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