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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction,
and Odds - 6-16-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 Philadelphia
Phillies 10.5
#906 Atlanta
Braves -160

Sunday, June 16, 2019 at 1:20pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

39 - 31


Atlanta Braves

41 - 30


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Atlanta Braves will host the Philadelphia Phillies as the clubs wrap up a three-game NL East series Sunday afternoon from SunTrust Park. The Phillies will give the start to 25-year old left-hander Cole Irvin, and the Braves will hand the ball to 27-year old right-hander Mike Foltynewicz. The Phillies lead the season series 3-1 as of Friday.

Irvin Makes First Appearance Since June 1st

Cole Irvin will make his fifth appearance and fourth start of the season in this one. Irvin last saw action on June 1st against the Dodgers and he conceded two runs in 3.2 innings in a no-decision. The rookie left-hander tallied two Quality Starts in his first two MLB starts, and he owns a 5.48 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP accompanied with a 2-1 record in 21.1 innings pitched on the season. Irvin posted a sharp 2.44 ERA at Triple-A this season. (EDIT: Vince Velasquez will start the series finale)

Watch for Maikel Franco in this one as he is 4 for 9 with two homers and seven RBI’s against the Braves pitching this season. The 26-year old third baseman is having a subpar season, posting a weak .206 average, although he does have nine home runs and 32 RBI’s. Franco is slumping, hitting .130 with two RBI’s on the month. Odubel Herrera remains away from the team due to an off-field matter.

The Phillies are scoring an average of 4.91 runs on the season, ranking them 13th in the Major Leagues. The Philadelphia pitching staff is carrying a 4.33 team ERA, pegging them 12th in the Majors. The Phillies own a 15-17 road record heading into Saturday.

Foltynewicz Aims for 7th Career Win vs. Phillies

Mike Foltynewicz will be on the hill for the 10th time of the year, aiming for his first win of the month. Foltynewicz was shaky in his latest outing, squandering four runs in five innings against the Pirates in a start that concluded with a no-decision. The sixth-year right-hander is having a rough season, carrying a poor 6.02 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP paired with a 1-5 record in 49.1 innings of action. Foltynewicz has shut down the Phillies in his 71.1 career innings, logging a 6-3 record and a 3.28 ERA. Jay Bruce is 1 for 7 against Foltynewicz, while Bryce Harper is 6 for 23, and Rhys Hoskins is 1 for 16.

Freddie Freeman is feasting against the Phillies this season, registering 8 hits in 15 at-bats with four RBI’s. The 29-year old slugger is having another remarkable season, boasting a .313 average with 19 home runs and 48 RBI’s. Freeman has belted six home runs along with a sizzling 16 RBI’s on the month. Ender Inciarte remains out of the Braves lineup.

The hot Braves offense has increased their season average to 5.23 runs, ranking them ninth overall. The Atlanta pitching staff is sporting a 4.31 team ERA, positioning them 11th in the big leagues. The Braves feature a 21-15 home record on the year entering Saturday.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I am siding with the Braves in this contest. This is a good opportunity for Braves’ starter Mike Foltynewicz to get back on track against a team he has silenced in the past. The right-hander features a solid 3.28 ERA and a 6-3 record in his career against the Phillies, and the Atlanta lineup is only hitting a combined .212 against him.

Furthermore, the hot Braves’ offense should be able to get to Vince Velasquez. The right-hander is 0-5 with a weak 4.86 ERA in 46.1 career innings pitched against Atlanta. The Braves have all of their big bats contributing right now, and they are averaging a sizzling 6.3 runs in their last ten games entering Saturday’s clash.

Prediction: Atlanta Braves

Full-Game Total Pick

The over is a solid option in this matchup. The Phillies should at least push across a few runs in this one considering their recent performance at the plate. Philly has bashed 11 home runs in four games against Atlanta this season entering Saturday, and the over is 5-1-1 in Braves’ starter Mike Foltynewicz’s last seven home starts.

In addition, the Braves have several players with strong numbers against Vince Velasquez. Ozzie Albies, Freddie Freeman, and Dansby Swanson are all hitting at least .320 against Velasquez. Also,  the over is 15-5-1 in the Braves’ last 20 games overall.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

The over on the Braves team total offered by PointsBet is a strong option. The Braves potent lineup has been among the best in baseball recently, and they continue to come up with clutch hits with runners on. The Braves have now scored at least six runs in six out of their last seven games. Freddie Freeman, Ozzie Albies, and Ronald Acuna Jr. are all a tough out right now, and I expect that to continue against Velasquez.

Prediction: Braves Team Total: Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

I am going with Freddie Freeman to record an RBI in this matchup. Freeman is red-hot at the dish, sporting a 1.127 OPS on the month, and he has notched six RBI’s in his last four games and 17 RBI’s on the month. The hitters in front of him continue to reach base, and I expect plenty of opportunities for Freddie  to collect another RBI.

Prediction: Freddie Freeman to Record an RBI

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.


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