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Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction,
and Odds - 6-18-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 Miami
Marlins 8
#906 St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals -265

Tuesday, June 18, 2019 at 8:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami Marlins

25 - 45


St. Louis Cardinals Cardinals

37 - 34


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Miami Marlins vs St Louis Cardinals

Where: Busch Stadium, St Louis Missouri

When: Tuesday, June 18, 2019, 8:15 pm Eastern

We have a National League matchup to discuss for Tuesday night when the Miami Marlins and St Louis Cardinals meet for game two of their scheduled four-game series. This preview was written prior to the finish of Monday night’s game and all opinions are based on the stats from the completed play from Sunday night.

Miami is last in the National League East and scheduled right-hander Jordan Yamamoto to pitch against St Louis. The Cardinals is third in the National League Central and plans for righty Jack Flaherty to get the start against the Marlins. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.

Marlins Average 3.47 Runs Per Game on Road

Miami is rebuilding and has a 25-44 record overall and is 12-19 away from Marlins Park. Miami is last in the National League with a road average of 3.47 runs per game and that’s not going to win many games. Miami has lost eight of its last ten games and enters Monday night hoping to end a one-game losing streak. Catcher Jorge Alfaro leads Miami with nine home runs, infielder Starling Castro has a team-high 28 RBI and infielder Miguel Rojas leads Miami with a .269 batting average this season.

The Marlins have plenty of injuries with the most significant being starting pitcher Jose Urena hitting the 60-day IL with a herniated disc. Urena is 4-7 this season with a 4.70 ERA and has 51 strikeouts over 74 innings pitched.

Yamamoto (1-0, 0.00 ERA) shut out these very Cardinals over seven innings in his only start to the season. Yamamoto scattered three hits and struck out five with two walks and he’s up against a Cardinals offense that usually hits righties well with 66 bombs and a .165 ISO and 101 wRC+. St Louis has a 21.7 percent strikeout and 9.5 percent walk rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Cardinals 5-5 on Ten Game Road Trip

St Louis is third in the National League Central and has just returned from a ten-game road trip where they were 5-5 but 0-3 against their Central Division opponents. They followed up that disappointing series with the Chicago Cubs with series wins over the Marlins and New York Mets. Outfielder Marcel Ozuna leads St Louis with 18 home runs and 56 RBI and infielder Paul DeJong has a team-leading .278 batting average this season.

The Cardinals have injury concerns but aren’t reporting any significant injuries nor are they planning to activate anyone for their series with Miami.

Flaherty (4-3, 4.28 ERA) has a 1.22 WHIP but his 4.03 xFIP says maybe some slight, positive regression is headed his way at some point this season. Miami has hit just 28 homers away from Marlins Park and has a .116 ISO and wRC+ of 82 against right-handed pitching this season. Without much power to contend with Tuesday, Flaherty won’t have to worry much about the 1.59 bombs per nine innings he allows and could see a bump to his already high 9.90 strikeouts per nine innings pitched due to the Marlins 23 percent strikeout rate against righties this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The Cardinals should win this game convincingly and I don’t see Yamamoto having the same type of game he had last week and I suspect when the Cardinals ran back the tape, they figured some things out. The Marlins offense is anemic and Miami is a good team for a bounce-back after a couple of rough outings.

Cash with the Flash and play St Louis on the run line!!

Prediction: Cardinals -1.5 Runs

Full-Game Total Pick

I don’t see a total posted yet but I suspect we’re going to see some runs scored by the Cardinals and I also see Miami managing to plate at least three runs. I see this game as a 7-3 Cardinals victory and saw the following trend that might be helpful for Tuesday night.

  • Over is 17-7-1 in the last 25 meetings.

Cash with the Flash and play the OVER on Tuesday!!

Prediction: Over

Phil Naessens

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