Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles California
When: Tuesday, June 18, 2019, 10:10 pm Eastern
We have a National League West matchup to consider for Tuesday when the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers meet for game two of their four-game series at Dodger Stadium. This write-up was published prior to the conclusion of Monday night’s slate of MLB games and all opinions are based on the stats from Sunday’s completed MLB action.
San Francisco is last in the NL West and plans for righty Shaun Anderson to get the start against Los Angeles. The Dodgers is first in the NL West and scheduled lefty Clayton Kershaw to pitch against the Giants. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Giants Beat Kershaw 2-1 in Last Meeting
San Francisco is rebuilding and has played better baseball recently and won five of its last ten games and enters Monday night hoping to end a one-game losing streak. The Giants average 4.5 runs per game away from home and has a road record of 15-18 this season. Infielder Pablo Sandoval leads San Francisco with nine home runs, infielder Brandon Belt has a team-high .248 batting average and outfielder Kevin Pillar leads the club with 32 RBI this season.
— San Francisco Giants (@SFGiants) June 16, 2019
The Giants aren’t listing any significant injuries and won’t be activating anyone for their series with the Dodgers.
Anderson (2-1, 3.97 ERA) has a 1.32 WHIP and his 4.28 xFIP suggests some regression might be in store and that might not be a good thing against a Dodgers club with 66 home runs at Dodger Stadium with a .217 ISO and 122 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. The Dodgers have a low strikeout and high walk rate and while Anderson can absolutely benefit from his high strikeouts per nine he will need to be careful as 16 percent of his fly balls leave the yard this season.
Bellinger MVP Type Season
The Dodgers has built a 10.5 game lead over NL West over Colorado and Arizona and is in danger of running away with the West. They have a 28-8 record at Dodger Stadium and has won just five of their last ten games thanks in part to a 4-4 road trip. Outfielder Cody Bellinger leads the Dodgers in several categories; home runs (23), RBI (58) and an MLB leading .355 batting average this season.
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) June 17, 2019
Los Angeles has several injuries with the most significant being infielder Corey Seager, who is out for the foreseeable future with a hamstring issue. Seager has a .359 OBP with eight bombs and 38 RBI over 237 at-bats this season.
Kershaw (6-1, 3.13 ERA) has a nearly elite 1.08 WHIP and his 3.46 xFIP suggests some regression might be in store at some point this season. The Giants have one of the worst offenses in baseball against southpaws but did manage two runs off Kershaw in San Francisco and did win 2-1. Kershaw had four strikeouts with just two walks and allowed six hits over his seven innings and the Dodgers failed to give him any run support.
- Dodgers are 55-13 in Kershaw’s last 68 starts vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 41-10 in Kershaw’s last 51 home starts.
- Giants are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings.
- Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Kershaw is probably going to want to throw the ball through the fence after taking his only loss of the season against San Francisco. Kershaw is 20-6 at Dodger Stadium over the last three seasons and I don’t see him having many problems against San Francisco. Anderson could have some real trouble with the Dodgers as they clobber righties and score an average of 5.5 runs per game at home this season.
Cash with the Flash and play the Dodgers on the run line Tuesday night!!
Prediction: Dodgers -1.5
Full-Game Total Pick
In years past this was automatic and I’m going to play the under with Kershaw at Dodger Stadium against the hapless Giants offense. San Francisco doesn’t score any runs and Kershaw has a home ERA of 2.10. Anderson has been pitching great and I don’t see the Dodgers bats bullying him that much on Tuesday. I saw the following trends that might be helpful for Tuesday;
- Under is 26-8-3 in Kershaw’s last 37 starts vs. Giants.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Kershaw’s last 5 home starts vs. Giants.
- Under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Los Angeles.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Tuesday!!
Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs