Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Nationals Park, Washington D.C.
When: Wednesday, June 19, 2019, 7:10 pm Eastern
We have a National League East matchup to consider when the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals meet for the second game of a doubleheader. Game one is the make-up game for Monday’s postponed game due to rain. This preview was published prior to the completion of Tuesday’s matchup and all opinions are based from the stats of Monday’s completed play.
Philadelphia is second in the National League East and plans for right-hander Nick Pivetta to get the start against Washington. Washington is fourth in the NL East and will look to righty Max Scherzer to make the start against the Phillies. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Phillies Below .500 on Road This Season
Philadelphia has won five of their last ten games and has fallen to second in the NL East and three games behind the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies score an average of 4.55 runs per game away from Citizens Bank Park and probably why Philadelphia has a road record of 16-18 this season. Outfielder Rhys Hoskins leads Philadelphia with 15 home runs, catcher J.T. Realmuto leads the Phillies with a .277 batting average and outfielder Bryce Harper has a club-high 49 RBI.
Stop what you're doing right now …
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) June 16, 2019
The Phillies has a lengthy injury report with two significant injuries for Tuesday. Catcher J.T. Realmuto is day to day with a groin injury and outfielder Jay Bruce is day to day with a hamstring issue. Bruce has five bombs and 13 RBI over 39 at-bats since his acquisition via trade with the Seattle Mariners.
Pivetta (4-1, 5.00 ERA) has a 1.40 WHIP and his 3.96 xFIP suggests Pivetta has been unlucky and could see some positive regression at some point this season. Pivetta strikes out 8.60 with 2.40 walks and two bombs allowed per nine innings pitched. Washington has 50 home runs at Nationals Park this season with a .182 ISO and 95 wRC+ and a 23 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Nationals Fourth in NL East
Washington is fourth in the NL East and has won five of their last ten games and is nine games behind the Braves for the top spot in the NL East. Washington scores 4.97 runs per game at home and entering Tuesday nights play has a 17-17 record at Nationals Park. Infielder Anthony Rendon has 16 bombs with a team-high 50 RBI and leads Washington with a .321 batting average this season.
Pretty sure when you hit your 2nd HR of the day…
(which is a GRAND SLAM, btw)
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) June 17, 2019
The Nationals have injury concerns but aren’t listing any new or significant injuries for their series with Philadelphia.
Scherzer (5-5, 2.81 ERA) has a 1.08 WHIP and his 2.95 xFIP suggests Scherzer has been unlucky and could see regression at some point this season. Scherzer strikes out 12.32 per nine while allowing 1.81 walks and 0.71 strikeouts per nine innings pitched. Philadelphia has a 22 percent strikeout rate and with 35 road home runs and a .182 ISO and wRC+ of 97 against righties this season. (edit: Scherzer broke his nose in batting practice on Tuesday and may not pitch).
- Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Scherzer is scheduled to start and if he does, we play the Nationals to win this game. If he doesn’t, all bets are off. Scherzer has been unlucky at home but should be able to get his strikeouts and disrupt the Phillies average offense against righties. Pivetta has been okay for Philadelphia but has a 3.58 ERA and 2-4 record away from Citizens Bank Park.
Cash with the Flash and play Washington to beat Philadelphia Wednesday night.
Full-Game Total Pick
I don’t see Vegas posting that high of a total and that’s okay with me because I am leaning towards playing the over. Scherzer might get his strikeouts, but he has coughed up six bombs over 53 innings at Nationals Park this season and Pivetta can get lit up on the road. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful on Wednesday night;
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Cash with the Flash and play OVER on Wednesday night.