Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Chase Field
When: Thursday, June 20, 2019, 3:40 pm Eastern
We have a National League West matchup to consider for Thursday afternoon when the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks meet for game three of their three-game series at Chase Field. This preview was written prior to the conclusion of Wednesday night MLB action and the opinions shared will be from the stats of Tuesday night’s MLB slate of games.
Colorado is second in the NL West and plans for righty Jeff Hoffman to get the start against Arizona. The Diamondbacks is third in the NL West and their probable starter is lefty Robbie Ray. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Rockies Second in NL West
Colorado is playing .500 ball over their last ten games and is 10 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for the top spot in the NL West. They have outscored their opponents by 19 runs this season and carry a 16-19 mark on the road this season. Infielder Nolan Arenado leads the Rockies with 18 home runs and a team-high 60 RBI and outfielder Charlie Blackmon leads Colorado with a .341 batting average this season.
At home. On the road. Doesn't matter.
— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) June 19, 2019
The Rockies aren’t reporting any injuries for their series with the Diamondbacks.
Hoffman (1-3, 7.04 ERA) has a 1.47 WHIP and his 4.29 xFIP suggests he’s been very unlucky and could see some positive regression soon. Hoffman strikes out 9.10 while allowing 2.64 and two bombs per nine innings pitched this season. Hoffman might be in trouble with Arizona as they score an average of 4.35 runs at Chase Field this season with a .190 ISO and wRC+ of 96 against righties this season. Arizona has a low, 21 percent strikeout and 8.5 percent walk rate that maybe Hoffman can exploit Thursday afternoon.
Arizona Third in NL West
Arizona has won six of its last ten games but enters Wednesday night hoping to end a two-game losing streak. The Diamondbacks has outscored its opponents by 51 runs this season but has a sub .500 record of 14-17 at Chase Field this season. Outfielder Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 20 home runs and a team-high .293 batting average and infielder Eduardo Escobar has a club-high 58 RBI for Arizona this season.
The Diamondbacks have a lengthy injury report but aren’t listing any new or significant injuries for the past three weeks and likely won’t be activating anyone for their series with Colorado.
Ray (5-4, 3.83 ERA) has a 1.32 WHIP and his 3.70 xFIP suggests maybe Ray has been a bit unlucky this season. Ray strikes out 11.59 per nine innings pitched and allows 4.15 walks and 0.98 bombs per nine innings this season. Colorado scores an average of 4.6 runs per game away from Coors Field and has a .200 ISO and wRC+ of 93 against southpaws this season. Colorado has a 22 percent strikeout rate and a low walk rate that Ray could surely take advantage of on Thursday afternoon.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Rays last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Rockies are 3-7 in Hoffman’s last 10 starts.
- Rockies are 3-7 in Hoffman’s last 10 starts on grass.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
We could get a decent price for Arizona with Ray on the hill as he does pitch better at home than away from Chase Field. The Rockies boast inflated numbers but away from Coors Field has a .169 ISO and wRC+ of 79 and that won’t likely get the job done against Ray on Thursday. Hoffman gets blown up away from Coors and his 9.28 ERA and three bombs allowed over 10 road innings aren’t going to get it done against the Diamondbacks.
Cash with the Flash and play Arizona to beat Colorado Thursday afternoon.
Full-Game Total Pick
We could see a high total for this game and the higher the better as we are looking at playing UNDER Thursday afternoon. Arizona doesn’t score much at home and the Rockies aren’t breaking scoring records away from Coors, so I expect a low scoring game Thursday. I saw the following trends that might be helpful on Thursday.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Thursday!