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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels,
6-23-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#927 Toronto
Blue Jays 8.5
#928 Los Angeles
Angels -135

Saturday, June 23, 2018 at 9:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Toronto Blue Jays
M. STROMAN

34 - 41

0
W's
5
L's
7.71
ERA
1.71
WHIP

Los Angeles Angels
J. BARRIA

41 - 35

5
W's
3
L's
3.57
ERA
1.17
WHIP

Toronto Blue Jays (34-40) vs. Los Angeles Angels (40-35)

Where and when:  Angel Stadium, Los Angeles, California, Saturday, 9:05 pm EST

Game 3 of a 4-game set against the visiting Toronto Blue Jays and the Los Angeles Angels will take place at Angel Stadium in Los Angeles, California, on Saturday night at 9:05 pm EST.  The Blue Jays are in 4th place within the AL East division while the Angels are 3rd in the AL West division.  In their last outing, the Angels got the 8-5 home win over the Blue Jays in game 2 of the series behind the strong hitting of Luis Valbuena and Martin Maldonado each having 2 hits apiece and combining for 4 RBI’s.  Jon Lamb did not factor into the decision as he pitched only 3.2 innings while allowing 3 runs on 6 hits, 1 walk, 1 homer, and 4 strikeouts with an ERA of 5.40.  Aaron Sanchez also did not figure into the decision as he pitched only 1 inning while allowing 2 runs on 2 hits, 1 walk, and 1 strikeout with an ERA of 4.52.  Lourdes Gurriel and Kendrys Morales each had 2 hits apiece with an RBI.  Kevin Pillar was 0-4 in game 2, altogether.

The Blue Jays come into this matchup winners of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U is 4-1.  For the season, the Toronto Blue Jays are averaging 4.51 runs per game (11th) with a team batting average of .236 (24th), 97 homers (6th) along with 25 stolen bases (28th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.65 (23rd) with 621 strikeouts (17th) along with 27 quality starts on the season (26th).

The Los Angeles Angels come into this matchup as losers of 3 of their last 5 games to where the O/U is 4-0-1.  For the season, the Angels are averaging 4.60 runs per game (9th) with a team batting average of .249 (14th), 105 homers (3rd) along with 37 stolen bases (15th).  Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.82 (11th) with 691 strikeouts (4th) with 30 quality starts on the year (18th).

Stroman Looking for 1st Win of the Year

Marcus Stroman (0-5) will approach the mound for the Blue Jays not only looking for his first win of the year, but, he will also be looking to halt a 4-game losing streak for himself (0-4 in last 4 starts) along with prevent an unforgettable rash of starts as it relates to his team as well (0-4 with Stroman on the mound in last 4 starts).  In his last outing, he pitched 5 innings while allowing 5 runs on 9 hits in a 5-0 home loss to the Seattle Mariners on 5-8-2018.  In his last outing versus the Angels, Stroman pitched 9 innings while allowing 2 runs on 7 hits in a 6-2 road win at Angel Stadium on 4-23-2017.  The over has been the play in 3 of Stroman’s last 5 starts while he has been credited with 26 earned runs in his last 6 starts while the Blue Jays are 4-6 in his last 10 starts.

Ian Kinsler (.286 BA on 7 AB), Albert Pujols (5-10), Andrelton Simmons (.429 BA on 7 AB), Mike Trout (5-10) have had the most experience and success against Stroman in the past; However, Kole Calhoun (.111 BA on 9 AB), Martin Maldonado (0-3), Luis Valbuena (0-3), and Chris Young (0-9) have had little to no success at all against the righty in their careers.

Barria Looks to Prevent 3rd Straight Loss

Jaime Barria (5-3) will get the start for the Angels in game 3 and will be focused to end a streak of losses in recent outings.  In his last start, he pitched only 4 innings while allowing 6 runs on 6 hits, 2 homers, 1 walk, and 5 strikeouts in a 7-4 home loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks on 6-18-2018.  This will be the first matchup against Barria and this Blue Jay lineup, however, Barria has been credited with 12 earned runs in his last 4 starts while the over has been the case in 3 of his last 4 starts.  The Angels are 2-3 in their last 5 outings with Barria on the mound.

Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 2-8 in last 10 Saturday games
  • The Over is 11-4 in Blue Jays last 15 road games
  • The Over is 19-7 in Blue Jays last 26 games on grass
  • The Over is 8-1-2 in Angels last 11 games
  • The Over is 8-1-2 in Angels last 11 games on grass
  • The Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games
  • The Angels are 6-2 in last 8 meeting against the Blue Jays

I see the over as being the play in this contest.  Both Stroman and Barria have been known to give up runs this season.  In fact, Barria is credited with 9 earned runs and 4 homers in his last 2 games overall while Stroman has 19 earned runs with 4 homers in his last 4 starts.  With a streaky lineup for the Jays along with a powerful and dangerous lineup for the Angels, I certainly expect the total to go over what is expected in this game on Saturday.  In all, with the over being the case in 8 of the Angels last 10 while being the result in 5 of the last 6 for the Jays, I will back the under to be the result in what will be an exciting game.

Pick:  Over

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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