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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox,
6-24-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 Seattle
Mariners 8
#966 Boston
Red Sox -245

Sunday, June 24, 2018 at 1:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
M. GONZALES

47 - 30

7
W's
4
L's
3.48
ERA
1.28
WHIP

Boston Red Sox
C. SALE

51 - 27

6
W's
4
L's
2.74
ERA
0.94
WHIP

Seattle Mariners (46-30) vs. Boston Red Sox (51-26)

Where and when:  Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts, Sunday, 1:05 pm EST

The finale of a 3-game set between the visiting Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox will take place at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts, on Sunday afternoon at 1:05 pm EST.  The Mariners occupy 2nd place within the AL West division while the Red Sox are 2nd place within the AL East behind the red-hot Yankees.  In game 1, the Mariners suffered the 14-10 road loss after a barrage of runs being scored from both teams, particularly, from the Sox who rallied from 5 runs down to get the win.  In this game the Red Sox would cash in on the money line as slight favorites (-131) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 9.5 runs for the game.  J.D. Martinez went 4-5 for the night with 5 RBI’s while Mitch Moreland and Rafael Devers each were 3-5 with a combined 3 RBI’s.  Steven Wright did not factor into the decision as he pitched 3.1 innings while allowing a whopping 10 runs on 10 hits, 2 walks, 3 homers, and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.38. while the opposing pitcher Wade LeBlanc did not factor in as well as he only pitched 4.1 innings while allowing 6 runs on 11 hits, 1 walk, and 2 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.26.  Nelson Cruz went 4-5 for the night with 7 RBI’s while Andrew Romine was 3-5 in the game.  Dee Gordon was also 2-4 for the game.

The Seattle Mariners come into this game losers of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2.  For the season, the Mariners are averaging 4.41 runs per game (15th) with a team batting average of .259 (3rd), 93 homers (12th) along with 47 stolen bases (6th).  Their pitching staff has certainly been inconsistent on the year with an ERA of 4.09 (16th) with 660 strikeouts (12th) along with 35 quality starts (7th).

The Boston Red Sox come into this game losers of 3 their last 5 games to where the O/U was 4-1.  For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 5.16 runs per game (2nd) with a team batting average of .264 (2nd), 108 homers (2nd) along with 57 stolen bases (2nd).  Their pitching staff has certainly been inconsistent on the year with an ERA of 3,53 (7th) with 746 strikeouts (2nd) along with 41 quality starts (3rd).

Gonzales Looking to Erase Remnants of Last Start

Marco Gonzalez (7-4) will come to the mound for the reeling Mariners in the finale looking to get a huge win while rebounding from his last outing to where he pitched 6.1 innings while allowing 6 runs on 8 hits, 3 homers, 1 walk, and 5 strikeouts in a 7-2 road loss to the Yankees on 6-19-2018.  This will be Gonzalez’ first meeting versus this dominating Red Sox unit, however, in his last 2 starts, he has been charged with 9 earned runs on 15 hits and 3 homers yet the Mariners have been 5-1 with him at the mound.  Furthermore, the under has been the play in 7 of the left-hander’s last 8 starts.

Sale Looking for 2nd win in 3 Starts

Chris Sale (6-4) will look to continue his solid pitching streak as he will take the mound on Sunday afternoon looking to build from his last outing to where he pitched 7 innings while allowing 2 runs on 3 hits, 11 strikeouts and 1 walk in a 6-2 loss at Minnesota Twins on 6-19-2018.  In his last outing versus the Mariners, Sale pitched 7 innings while allowing no runs on only 3 hits, 11 strikeouts and only 1 walk in a 4-0 road win at SafeCo Field on 7-26-2017.  Sale has only been credited with 4 runs in his last 3 starts while the under has been the result in 5 of his last 9 outings.  Finally, the Red Sox are 3-4 with Sale on the mound in his last 7 appearances.

Jean Segura (.286 BA on 7 AB), Andrew Romine (.214 BA on 14 AB), Ben Gamel (1-3), and Nelson Cruz (.250 BA on 20 AB) have the most experience and success against Sale.  On the other hand, Mitch Haniger (0-2), Ryon Healy (.167 BA on 6 AB), Guillermo Heredia (.167 BA on 6 AB), Chris Herrmann (0-3), and Kyle Seager (.063 BA on 7 AB) have had very little (to no) success at all against the lefty in their careers.

Trends

  • The Over is 7-3 in Mariners last 10 road games
  • The Over is 11-5-1 in Mariners last 17 games
  • The Under is 7-1 in Gonzales’ last 8 starts
  • The Red Sox are 10-3 in last 13 Sunday Games
  • The Under is 20-6 in Red Sox last 26 Sunday games
  • The Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 games versus AL West

The Mariners have really struggled lately and with their game 1 high-scoring loss served as their 5th straight.  In addition to this, Chris Sale will be coming to the mound and has had a very solid career against the batters within the Mariner lineup.  Gonzales, on the other hand, has not faced the Red Sox in his career.  In all, I will have to go with the under in this contest simply because of Sale’s stats against the Mariner hitters along with Gonzales’ penchant to trend towards the under in his starts.  Besides, I expect both teams to be locked in for this battle as AL positioning will certainly be on the line.  Again, take the under in this contest against 2 teams that continue to jockey for position within their respective divisions.

Pick:  Under

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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