Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Oracle Park
When: Wednesday, June 26, 2019, 3:40 pm Eastern
We have a National League West MLB matchup as our focus when the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants meet for game three of their scheduled, three-game series. This preview was published prior to the conclusion of Tuesday night MLB games and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night MLB action.
Colorado is second in the National League West and plans for right-hander German Marquez to get the start against San Francisco. The Giants is last in the NL West and their probable pitcher is righty Jeff Samardzija. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Rockies Second in NL West
Colorado has won five of its last ten games and enters Tuesday night’s game with the Giants riding a one-game winning streak by winning by a score of 2-0 over the Giants. The Rockies have outscored opponents by 19 runs and has a 19-22 record away from Coors Field. Infielder Nolan Arenado leads Colorado with 19 home runs and a team-high 62 RBI and outfielder Charlie Blackmon leads the club with a .330 batting average.
Person Making a Phone Call: Hello! I would like an oppo home run, please.
— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) June 25, 2019
The Rockies are reporting that infielder Ian Desmond is day to day with a “lower half issue” that caused him to miss Monday’s series opener. Desmond has a .341 OBP with 10 bombs and 40 RBI over 228 at-bats this season.
Marquez (7-3, 4.32 ERA) has a 1.19 WHIP and his 3.44 xFIP suggests maybe some positive regression is headed the righties way this season. Marquez strikes out 9.05 per nine innings with 1.96 walks and allows 1.14 home runs per nine innings pitched. The Giants score an average of 3.12 runs per game and belted 24 home runs at home this season while boasting a .116 ISO and wRC+ of 82 and a 21 percent strikeout rate and Marquez should be able to keep the Giants in check Wednesday afternoon.
Giants Riding the Struggle Bus
The Giants are rebuilding and has lost six of its last ten games and enters Tuesday night hoping to end a two-game losing streak. San Francisco has been outscored by 92 runs this season and has a 15-22 record at Oracle Park this season. Outfielder Kevin Pillar leads the Giants with 10 home runs, a team-high 37 RBI and leads the club with a .253 batting average this season.
— San Francisco Giants (@SFGiants) June 25, 2019
San Francisco has injury concerns with the most significant being infielder Brandon Crawford being listed as day to day with the same hamstring issue that caused him to miss Monday nights series opener. Crawford has a .280 OBP with five home runs and 27 RBI this season.
Samardzija (4-6, 4.23 ERA) has a 1.31 WHIP and his 5.11 xFIP suggests the veteran righty has been lucky and regression could be headed his way. Samardzija strikes out 7.55 per nine innings pitched with 2.75 walks and allows 1.49 bombs per nine innings pitched. Colorado scores an average of 4.4 runs per game and has hit 44 home runs away from Coors Field. The Rockies have a 22.5 percent strikeout rate against righties Samardzija could take advantage of but needs to be careful with the Rockies .194 ISO and wRC+ of 90 against righties this season.
- Giants are 2-6 in Samardzija’s last 8 starts.
- Giants are 2-7 in Samardzija’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Giants are 0-4 in Samardzija’s last 4 home starts.
- Rockies are 6-0 in Marquez’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rockies are 11-2 in Marquez’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Rockies are 4-1 in Marquez’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Giants don’t win many games and I don’t see them doing much against Marquez on Wednesday afternoon. Marquez has solid numbers and if the predictive stats are to be believed, Marquez could actually get better and that doesn’t bode well for San Francisco. Samardzija has pitched well at home but it doesn’t matter much if your team can’t score runs.
Cash with the Flash and play Colorado to beat the Giants.
Full-Game Total Pick
Colorado doesn’t score a lot away from Coors and the Giants don’t score much anywhere. Add to that mix two really solid pitchers and we have a recipe for a low scoring game. I saw the following trends that might be helpful for Wednesday;
- Under is 4-0 in Marquez’s last 4 starts vs. Giants.
- Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Samardzijas last 6 home starts vs. Rockies.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Wednesday!!