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The St. Louis Cardinals will host the Oakland A’s for the second and final game of their two-game mini set here. Both teams have played reasonably well recently, although neither has been great. Daniel Mengden will start for the A’s here, while Adam Wainwright takes the mound for the Cardinals.
A’s Back On Track?
Oakland has been fighting hard recently. The A’s were arguably the biggest surprise of the 2018 season, coming out of nowhere to make the playoffs. They got off to a slow start, but have been starting to turn it on lately. Entering Tuesday, they’d crawled back to three games above .500. The A’s don’t have much of a home-field advantage because of their pitiful attendance, so they often end up playing better on the road. Over their last 16 games away from home, they’ve gone an incredible 12-4. They’ll have Daniel Mengden on the mound here, who is getting called up for a spot start.
— Oakland A's (@Athletics) June 26, 2019
He got roughed up pitching in relief in his most recent outing, but he looked really good before that. In his most recent appearance he gave up six runs in 2 and 1/3 innings, but I think that may have been a fluke due to pitching out of the pen. In each of his previous three games, he had only given up one earned run. Now that he’s back in the rotation, he should be able to regain his prior form. In his last road start, he went seven innings, giving up only three hits and one run. The A’s have also played well in this matchup recently, winning five of their last seven games against the Cardinals.
Wainwright Out Of Gas?
The Cardinals knew they needed to make bold moves this offseason. They had been slipping the past few years and watching as the Brewers and Cubs passed them by in the division. They acted swiftly, adding Paul Goldschmidt from the Diamondbacks in a blockbuster trade. So far things have been going ‘good but not great’, as they entered Tuesday with a 40-37 record. They’ve been treading water for a while, seemingly hovering around .500 the whole season. As they look to break out from the middle of the pack, they’ll have Adam Wainwright on the mound here. Wainwright has been on the Cardinals’ major league roster for nearly 15 years and will turn 38 in August.
He’s been holding his own so far, owning a 4.50 ERA coming into this one. He’s had a few very good starts, but has mostly been mediocre. In five of his last six starts, he’s given up at least three earned runs. Wainwright is clearly over the hill physically, and it’s not clear how much left he has in the tank at this point. He has at least four walks in three of his past six outings, and I’m not sure how much longer you can trust him. His style of pitching isn’t that conducive to winning games, as the Cards are just 2-6 in his last eight starts.
- 2-6 in Wainwright’s last 8 starts
- 1-4 in Wainwright’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record
- 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. A’s
- 12-4 in their last 16 road games
- 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
- 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I like the A’s a lot here. Oakland is hot at the moment, and they’ve been playing really well on the road lately. They’re 12-4 in their last 16 games away from home, and oddsmakers are underrating them because they’re on the road. The Cardinals are just 2-6 in Wainwright’s last eight starts, and Oakland has the better offense at the moment.
Prediction: Oakland A’s
Full-Game Total Pick
I also like the over a lot here. Wainwright is about to turn 38, and he just doesn’t have it anymore. He’s given up at least three earned runs in five of his past six games, and the A’s should be able to get to him here. Mengden hasn’t appeared in the majors in weeks, so he should be pretty rusty, and both sides should have some success on offense.