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Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians,
7-11-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#925 Cincinnati
Reds 9
#926 Cleveland
Indians -185

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cincinnati Reds
T. MAHLE

41 - 51

7
W's
6
L's
3.66
ERA
1.39
WHIP

Cleveland Indians
C. CARRASCO

49 - 41

9
W's
5
L's
4.28
ERA
1.18
WHIP

Cincinnati Reds (40-51, 19-26 Away) at Cleveland Indians (49-40, 28-16 Home)

MLB: Wednesday, July 11, 2018, Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio, 7:10 PM ET

The Cincinnati Reds lost the last two games of the series with the Chicago Cubs but managed to open the series with Cleveland with a win; however, that is not enough to move up from the bottom of the NL Central. On the other hand, the Cleveland Indians are at the top of the AL Central with even nine wins ahead of the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers, but the Indians lost three in a row and are eager to return to the winning ways.

The pitching matchup for Wednesday’s tilt will give us Tyler Mahle for the Cincinnati Reds against the Cleveland Indians’ Carlos Carrasco. First pitch was set for 7:10 PM ET.

The Reds snapped the two-game losing streak with a victory over Cleveland

Cincinnati suffered a pair of narrow defeats to the Chicago Cubs on the road but responded with a 7-5 victory in the opening game of the series with the Indians. The Reds entered the game well and got to a 5-1 lead after eight innings, and when they added two more runs in the final inning, it was obvious that the Indians will not be able to make a comeback despite answering with four runs.

Tyler Mahle is listed as a starting pitcher against the Cleveland Indians, and he’s coming from a 1-2 record in 2017, a 2.70 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, 11 walks, and 14 strikeouts in four games in total. Mahle started 18 games in this season and has seven wins and six losses as he pitched 98 innings, allowing 96 hits and 44 runs with 41 walks and 97 strikeouts. The Reds are 7-1 in Mahle’s last eight starts; 7-1 in Mahle’s previous eight starts on grass, while they are 4-1 in Mahle’s last five road starts.

The Indians are hoping to conclude the series with a win

Cleveland was in a fine form of five wins including the sweeping of the Kansas City Royals, but the Indians lost the previous three games and are eager to end the negative streak and prevent the Twins and Tigers from getting close. The Indians couldn’t get the things going offensively in the opening game of the series with the Reds, and despite being labeled as favorites, they lost 7-5, even though they scored four runs in the ninth inning; it was too late for a comeback.

Carlos Carrasco is set to start against the Cincinnati Reds, and he’s coming from an 18-6 record in 2017, a 3.29 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, 46 walks, and 228 strikeouts in 32 games overall. Carrasco started 16 games in this campaign and has nine wins and five losses as he pitched 96 innings, allowing 92 hits and 47 runs with 22 walks and 103 strikeouts. The Indians are 36-17 in Carrasco’s last 53 starts; 19-7 in Carrasco’s previous 26 Wednesday starts, while they are 9-4 in Carrasco’s last 13 starts during game three of a series.

Trends:

Cincinnati:

  • 17-38 in their last 55 interleague games played on the road vs. a right-handed starter
  • 8-22 in their last 30 interleague games vs. an opponent with a winning record
  • 20-55 in their last 75 interleague games played on the road vs. an opponent with a winning record

Cleveland:

  • 5-0 in their last five games after losing the first two games of a series
  • 20-8 in their last 28 games played on Wednesday
  • 37-18 in their last 55 during game three of a series

Cleveland won ten out of the previous 17 H2H encounters, but the Reds won four out of the last five, while the Indians were victorious in six out of the past 11 meetings at the Progressive Field. The Indians are 4-0 in Carrasco’s last four starts vs. Reds, and they have good results when he is a starting pitcher, so I am backing the hosts to conclude the series with a victory. For those who prefer playing on the points, over is 7-3 in the last ten duels, while over is 4-0 in Carrasco’s previous four starts vs. Reds.

The Pick: Cleveland Indians

The Admiral

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