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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles,
7-11-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#917 New York
Yankees -140
#918 Baltimore
Orioles 9.5

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Yankees
S. GRAY

59 - 31

5
W's
7
L's
5.85
ERA
1.57
WHIP

Baltimore Orioles
D. BUNDY

26 - 66

6
W's
8
L's
4.08
ERA
1.27
WHIP

New York Yankees (59-30, 26-17 Away) at Baltimore Orioles (25-66, 13-30 Home)

MLB: Wednesday, July 11, 2018, Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland, 7:05 PM ET

The New York Yankees lost the leading place in the AL East after a few bad performances and the Boston Red Sox’s excellent form, but the Yankees have three games in hand and will have to win all of them to keep up the pace with the arch-rivals. On the other hand, the Baltimore Orioles are still the worst team in the entire MLB despite snapping the six-game losing streak with a win over the Yankees in the opener of the series.

The pitching matchup for Wednesday’s tilt will give us Sonny Gray for the New York Yankees against the Baltimore Orioles’ Dylan Bundy. First pitch was set for 7:05 PM ET.

The Yankees responded to the unexpected loss with a big win over Baltimore

New York closed the series with the Toronto Blue Jays on the road with a pair of victories, but the Orioles upset them in the opener with a 5-4 win, which infuriated the Yankees who answered with a 10-2 victory in the following clash. The Yankees won even 30 bases in opposite to Baltimore’s nine, while they recorded 17 hits, so the win was never in doubt as they scored six runs in the last two innings.

Sonny Gray is listed as a starting pitcher against the Baltimore Orioles, and he’s coming from a 10-12 record in 2017, a 3.55 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, 57 walks, and 153 strikeouts in 27 games in total. Gray started 17 games in this season and has five wins and seven losses as he pitched 84 innings, allowing 95 hits and 55 runs with 38 walks and 77 strikeouts. The Yankees are 1-4 in Gray’s last five starts, while they are 2-5 in Gray’s previous seven starts vs. American League East rivals.

The Orioles surprised the Yankees in the opener but suffered a huge defeat in the next game

Baltimore was in a poor form of six consecutive losses as the Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins swept them in the process, but the Orioles avoided the seventh defeat in a row with an unexpected victory over the New York Yankees. However, the visitors bounced back in the next tilt and prevented Baltimore from scoring in the first seven innings, and when the Orioles finally scored a couple of runs in the eighth inning, it was a bit too late, and New York secured a deserved 10-2 win.

Dylan Bundy is set to start against the St. Louis Cardinals, and he’s coming from a 13-9 record in 2017, a 4.24 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, 51 walks, and 152 strikeouts in 28 games overall. Bundy started 17 games in this campaign and has six wins and eight losses as he pitched 99 innings, allowing 96 hits and 52 runs with 30 walks and 110 strikeouts. The Orioles are 5-2 in Bundy’s last seven Wednesday starts; 1-9 in Bundy’s previous ten starts vs. American League East opponents, while they are 4-9 in Bundy’s last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Trends:

New York:

  • 46-17 in their last 63 games played on the grass
  • 5-2 in their last seven games played on the road vs. an opponent with a home winning percentage of less than .400
  • 37-15 in their last 52 games played on Wednesday

Baltimore:

  • 14-38 in their last 52 vs. American League East rivals
  • 14-39 in their last 53 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • 4-12 in their last 16 games played on Wednesday
  • 1-4 in their last five during game four of a series

New York won nine out of the previous 15 H2H encounters including three out of the last four, while the Yankees were victorious in four out of the past six meetings at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Baltimore is too weak to beat New York twice in the same series, while the visitors cannot afford to lose and allow Boston to create a bigger gap, so I am backing the Yankees on this one. When it comes to the points, over is 22-4 in the last 26 duels, while over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.

The Pick: New York Yankees

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

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