Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Petco Park When: Friday, July 12, 2019, 10:10 pm Eastern
We have a National League matchup to discuss when the Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres meet for game one of their three-game scheduled series. Atlanta is first in the National League East and plans for lefty Dallas Kuechal to make the start against the Padres. San Diego is third in the National League West and will look to righty Dinelson Lamet to make the start against the Braves. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Braves First in National League East
The Braves are rolling along and have won six of their last ten games and has a six-game lead over the Washington Nationals. Atlanta has outscored their opponents by 59 runs this season and has a 28-16 record away from Sun Trust Park. Infielder Freddie Freeman leads Atlanta with 23 bombs, 68 RBI and a team high .309 batting average.
Atlanta isn’t listing any significant injuries for their series with San Diego.
Keuchel (2-2, 3.60 ERA) has a 1.28 WHIP and his 4.53 xFIP suggests maybe some regression is headed the lefties way at some point this season. Keuchel strikes out 4.32 per nine innings pitched with 2.16 walks and 1.08 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched. San Diego scores an average of 3.8 runs per game with 66 bombs at Petco Park this season and has belted 28 home runs against left-handed pitching this season.
Padres Three Game Winning Streak
San Diego is 14 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West standings and has won five of their last 10 games and enters this series riding a three-game winning streak. The Padres have been outscored by 35 runs and have a 23-24 record at Petco Park this season. Outfielder Hunter Renfroe leads the Padres with 27 home runs and infielder Eric Hosmer leads San Diego with a .287 batting average and a team-high 62 RBI this season.
The Padres aren’t reporting any injuries for their series with Atlanta.
Lamet has made one start since his return from Tommy John surgery cost him nearly two seasons and is striking out 12.60 per nine innings pitched with 3.60 walks and 1.80 bombs allowed per nine innings pitched. Atlanta scores an average of five runs per game with 61 bombs away from Sun Trust Park and has smashed 111 home runs against righties this season.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- None Available
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
San Diego is hot and playing at home and I have to go with the home dawg on Friday night. Keuchel has been good since joining the Braves but is up against a Padres side that won three straight over the Dodgers in Los Angeles and I see that momentum carrying over on Friday night. Cash with the Flash and play the Padres to beat the Braves.
Full-Game Total Pick
These are two pretty good pitchers throwing in a pitcher-friendly ballpark and I don’t see that many runs scored on Friday night. The offenses will need to shake off the rust and that won’t be an easy thing to do against Keuchel and Lamet on Friday night. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful on Friday night.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Friday night.
Prediction: Under 8.5 runs