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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction,
and Odds - 7-12-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#929 Los Angeles
Dodgers 10.5
#930 Boston
Red Sox -115

Friday, July 12, 2019 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Dodgers

60 - 32


Boston Red Sox

49 - 41


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

We’ve got a rematch of the World Series here as the Los Angeles Dodgers travel east to take on the Boston Red Sox. The Dodgers will start Kenta Maeda here as they look for revenge for their World Series loss, while the Red Sox will have Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound. Oddsmakers have this game as nearly even, so it should be a good one.

Dodgers Struggling?

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be hungry for revenge here. Each of the last two seasons they’ve won the National League and made the World Series, only to lose both times. Most recently, they lost to the Red Sox in five games last fall. They’ll have Kenta Maeda on the mound here for their first game since the All-Star break. Maeda has been solid overall this year, entering with a 3.76 ERA, but he’s been up and down. In seven of his last ten starts, he’s given up two or fewer runs, but he’s also gotten hit hard a bunch. In June, he had a mediocre 4.21 ERA. This is his first time ever pitching at Fenway or even against the Red Sox, which could throw him off here, especially considering he’s much worse on the road than he is at home overall. He has a 2.26 ERA in home games this year, but that balloons out to 5.52 on the road.

The Dodgers also might be in their own heads a little bit, and pressing mentally due to the World Series loss and their desire for payback here in the first game of this series. The Dodgers were also struggling a bit heading into the break, losing three straight games. Their vaunted lineup only mustered six total runs in those games at home against the Padres.

Red Sox Heating Up?

The Red Sox are the defending World Series champions, but you might not know it by looking at them. They’ve gotten off to a somewhat slow start, entering this one at 49-41. That might not seem bad, but they haven’t been the dominant force many were expecting, although things have been getting better recently. While the Dodgers had been hot all season long and then slipped right before the break, the Red Sox had been disappointing but then started to heat up right before the break. Boston won each of their last four games before the break, scoring 33 runs in those four games. The offense has been on fire overall, as they’ve scored at least six runs in ten of their last 11 games.

They’ll have Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound here for this interleague opener. Rodriguez has been having an up and down year overall, and enters this one with a 4.65 ERA. But he’d been pitching well right before the break, giving up only three runs across his last two starts. The Red Sox seem to play well when he pitches, and they’re 24-8 in his last 32 home starts. The Red Sox have owned this matchup recently, winning each of the last six times that they’ve hosted the Dodgers at Fenway. The lineup is looking good and everybody is hitting well, and they’re starting to look like the juggernaut we saw in 2018.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Getting the Red Sox at even here at home is a steal. They’re the much better team, and they’ve won four straight games entering this one while the Dodgers have lost three straight. Rodriguez has looked good in his last couple of outings, and the Red Sox are 24-8 in his last 32 home games. There’s simply no reason for this line to be even, as the Dodgers’ overhyped offense only managed six total runs in their last three games.

Prediction: Red Sox -110

Full-Game Total Pick

I also like the over a lot here. Maeda has been very shaky on the road this season, with an ERA above five in games away from home. Rodriguez has been shaky as well this year, and the over is 17-4 in his last 21 starts. Boston’s lineup has been on fire, scoring at least six runs in ten of their last 11 games. There’s no reason to think the offense will slow down here, and they should hit Maeda hard. Both teams have elite lineups, and this one will be very high scoring.

Prediction: Over

Alex Porter

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