Featured Video from Scott Reichel
When and where: July 12, 2019, Yankee Stadium, New York, NY, 7:05 PM ET
The Toronto Blue Jays face an uphill battle in their first series back from the All-Star break when going on the road to face the AL East-leading New York Yankees. An even split with the Tampa Rays has the Yankees coming off back-to-back losses, while the Blue Jays have lost consecutive series meetings to the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox. A pitching duel between Blue Jays righty Aaron Sanchez and Yankees youngster Domingo German will be featured in this divisional showdown.
Long and difficult road trip for the Blue Jays
A 10-game road trip should be plenty of time for the Blue Jays to reflect on the future, which may or may not include MLB All-Star pitcher Marcus Stroman. There is plenty of trade talk circulating throughout the organization as the team is likely headed towards a third-straight losing season. They currently sit in fourth place in the AL East division, well behind the Yankees, Rays and Boston Red Sox.
Things aren’t looking any better on the other side of the All-Star break, either. After a three-game series against the Yankees, they’ll have to travel to Fenway Park for a four-game visit with the Red Sox. So the situation will definitely get much worse before it gets any better. Perhaps a first-class ticket off a sinking ship wouldn’t necessarily be a bad thing for Stroman.
Sanchez will lead the pitching in Friday’s meeting with the Yankees. The 27-year-old is on-pace for the worst season of his career. He is currently throwing a 6.16 ERA with a 3-12 record, which is a massive decline from the All-Star season he posted in 2016, when he led the AL in ERA. Opposing teams have put up six or more runs in four of his last five outings.
Yankees show grit in the face of adversity
A bad injury bug nearly derailed the first-half of the Yankees’ 2019 season. Despite missing some of their star players, they still managed to enter the All-Star break with the best record in the American League (57-31). Whether they’re able to maintain that same level of dominance on the other side of the break remains to be seen.
Giancarlo Stanton, who missed most of the first-half of the season, could be sidelined until August with a right knee sprain, while Luke Voit might not miss much time after the All-Star break. Starting pitcher Luis Severino, on the other hand, might be looking at a late August or even September return. The Yankees will have their work cut out for them in their efforts to ride the AL East lead all the way to the finish line.
German will do his part in trying to help fend off the Blue Jays when he takes the mound on Friday. Good things seem to happen for the Yankees whenever he’s pitching, as he’s managed to amass a 10-2 record. He is throwing a 3.67 ERA and coming off a stellar performance against the New York Mets, who he helped hold to five hits and one run in six innings.
- Yankees are 104-47 in their last 151 home games.
- Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in the previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Germans last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 7-0 in Germans last 7 starts against teams in the American League East.
- Blue Jays are 0-4 in Sanchezs last 4 starts following a team loss in the previous game.
- Blue Jays are 0-5 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 0-5 in Sanchezs last 5 starts against teams in the American League East.
- Blue Jays are 0-6 in Sanchezs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Normally, I’d take the lame way out and pick the Yankees straight up in a blowout. Could you blame me? The Blue Jays are 16-27 on the road, and they’re going to Yankee Stadium to play against arguably the best team in the league with Sanchez on the mound. And I’m not talking about the Sanchez that was posting strikeouts left and right and throwing a 3.00 ERA back in 2016. I’m talking about the 2019 version that has only pitched for three wins, despite spending 92.0 innings on the mound.
However, both teams are coming off the All-Star break, and I expect there to be a bit of a feeling out process on Friday considering how often these teams play. The Blue Jays will be able to take advantage by making this a closer game than it should be, but they still lack the firepower and the discipline to make the critical plays in the end to win such a high-profile game.
German will have a strong night on the mound, and the Yankees will overcome an off-night at the plate to open up the series with a victory.
Prediction: New York Yankees (-1 ½ -138)
Full-Game Total Pick
The Blue Jays are coming into this game averaging a pitiful 2.67 runs in their last three outings. That doesn’t exactly give me much confidence in them helping the Yankees hit the over total. Not to mention this is the first game back for both teams. The Yankees will need at least one game to get back into a rhythm. Give me the under betting total here.
Prediction: Under (11)