Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Miller Park
When: Wednesday, July 17, 2019, 2:10 pm Eastern
We have a National League MLB contest to consider when the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers meet for game three of their three-game series. This preview was published prior to the end of Tuesday night MLB action and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night MLB contests.
Atlanta leads the NL East and plans for lefty Dallas Keuchel to make the start against Milwaukee. The Brewers is third in the NL Central and their probable starter is righty Chase Anderson. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Braves Five Game Winning Streak
The Braves enter Tuesday riding a five-game winning streak and has won eight of their last 10 games. Atlanta has outscored their opponents by 68 runs this season and has a 30-18 record away from Sun Trust Park. Infielder Freddie Freeman leads the Braves with 25 home runs, a team-high .302 batting average and leads Atlanta with 74 RBI this season.
It's a battle of the @Braves!
— MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) July 16, 2019
Keuchel (3-2, 3.09 ERA) has a 1.31 WHIP and his 4.50 xFIP suggests maybe some regression is headed the southpaw’s way at some point this season. Keuchel has allowed 11 earned runs over the past 32 innings pitched and strikes out 4.78 per nine innings pitched with 2.81 walks and 1.13 bombs allowed per nine innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee averages 4.77 runs per game and has blasted 82 home runs at Miller Park this season with 46 home runs against left-handed pitching.
Brewers Riding the Struggle Bus
The Brewers has struggled to a 2-8 record over their last 10 games and enters Tuesday night hoping to end a two-game losing streak. Milwaukee has been outscored by 26 runs this season and has a 28-21 record at Miller Park this season. Outfielder Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 32 home runs, a team-leading .332 batting average and leads Milwaukee with 68 RBI this season.
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 16, 2019
Anderson (4-2, 4.27 ERA) has a 1.26 WHIP and his 4.64 xFIP suggests maybe some regression is headed the righties way at some point this season. Anderson has allowed 13 earned runs over the last 25 innings pitched and strikes out 9.04 per nine innings pitched with 2.89 walks and 1.38 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched.
Atlanta scores an average of five runs per game with 68 bombs away from Sun Trust Park and has blasted 116 bombs against right-handed pitching this season.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Anderson’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Brewers are 1-7 in Anderson’s last 8 starts vs. National League East
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
- Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Atlanta is hot as a firecracker and roughs up right-handed pitching and has Keuchel on the hill against a Brewers side that has struggled in general and particularly against southpaws. Anderson allows too many home runs for my taste against a Braves side with 116 bombs this season against right-handed pitching.
Cash with the Flash and play the Braves to beat the Brewers.
Full-Game Total Pick
These are two pretty good offenses up against two pitchers known to walk hitters and allow home runs. Milwaukee has struggled at the plate but they are due to score runs and I see these two sides combining for more than 10 runs Wednesday afternoon.
Cash with the Flash and play OVER on Wednesday afternoon.
Prediction: Over 10 Runs