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New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 7-17-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#975 New York
Mets 10.5
#976 Minnesota
Twins -175

Wednesday, July 17, 2019 at 1:45pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets
J. VARGAS

43 - 51

3
W's
5
L's
3.81
ERA
1.27
WHIP

Minnesota Twins
M. PEREZ

58 - 35

7
W's
3
L's
3.95
ERA
1.27
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins 

Where and when:  Target Park, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Wednesday, 1:10 pm EST

The Minnesota Twins will battle thye New York Mets in Game two of a two game series from Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  The two teams split a two-game set earlier in the season in what were two high-scoring affairs. However, the Mets picked up a victory in the finale to prevent the sweep.  

The Mets are coming off a three-game road set versus the Miami Marlins to where they picked up a series win.  Jeff McNeil along with Robinson Cano each hit homers for New York in the finale while Jacob DeGrom seemed as solid as ever in pitching five innings while allowing just one earned run in addition to recording six strikeouts.  

With six games left on a nine game road trip, the Mets look to draw off this momentum to take out what has been one of the hottest teams in the league.  It is important to note that before their set versus the Marlins, the Mets were losers of eight of their last eleven road games.  

The Twins, on the other hand, are also coming off their second straight series win over division foe Cleveland Indians after falling on the road to the Oakland Athletics just before the All-Star break.  And despite falling just short of the sweep in the finale, the Twins are now six games ahead of the Indians in the AL Central.  Minnesota attempted a rally from a 3-0 deficit versus the Indians in the seventh inning as RBI’s by Max Kepler, Marwin Gonzales, along with Jake Cave tied the game.  However, Irvin Santana had the final say as his homer in the bottom of the seventh ultimately salvaged the victory for the home team.  

Hitting leader Jorge Polanco (.311) had four hits along with two RBI’s during the series, yet, went 0-5 in the finale.  Kepler, on the other hand, was red-hot in three versus the Indians with four hits, two homers, along with four RBI’s as he increased his average to .267 for the year.  

Perez seeks second straight victory for Twins

Martin Perez (8-3) has really come on for the Twins rotation in 2019.  After finishing 2018 with just a 2-7 record along with an ERA of over six, he has improved to win eight games on the year while his ERA tops off at 4.26.  And while the left-hander has been durable on the hill in pitching quality games in four of his last five starts, he has certainly benefited from a potent offense with his elevated ERA having much to do with the amount of runs he has allowed on the season (45 in fifteen starts). 

In fact, the left-hander has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five outings.  The team is a game over .500 with Perez on the hill this year as he pitched six innings versus the Texas Rangers at Target Park while giving up four earned on seven hits in a 15-6 demolishing on July 5th. Perez also came out on top in his most recent matchup with the Mets at Citi Field in 2017 in pitching six frames while allowing just one run in a 5-1 win while suiting up for the Texas Rangers on August 9th.  

Cano is batting under .200 on thirty-seven at bats, lifetime, versus Perez while Amed Rosario (1-5), Michael Conforto (1-4), along with J.D. Davis (1-5) have all struggled versus the pitcher in their respective careers. 

No pitcher assigned for struggling Mets rotation

No pitcher has been assigned for the Mets at this point.  The rotation has been up and down all year while possessing a collective ERA of just under five for the year.  They were certainly able to get back on track versus the Marlins after a horrible outing in game one for Jason Vargas by enlisting the assistance of Noah Syndergaard along with DeGrom, who allowed the team to pick up the final two wins of the set.  

Despite those win(s), however, the Mets continue to be horrible both at home and on the road.  Furthermore, the terrible state of their current pitching staff has lead to the team shopping their wares in order to bolster themselves in this area.  Both Vargas along with Syndergaard have been mentioned in recent trade talks while Zack Wheeler, who has one more win on the year than DeGrom, has been out due to a shoulder injury with no definite time of return. 

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

 

I will back the Twins over a Mets team that simply looks dysfunctional.  The home team will be looking to maintain their form at home, where they have lost only fifteen games all year.  Furthermore, look for the Twins to take advantage of the rotation for the Mets knowing that they will not face DeGrom or Syndergaard in this two-game set.  

Prediction: Pick:  Minnesota Twins 171

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I will back the over in this contest as the Mets pitching will not be able to contain an offense for the Twins that remains as one of the most dangerous in the MLB.  Furthermore, the over was the result in their two-game set in April, and I see the scoreboard lighting up, once again, in favor of the home team on Wednesday.

Prediction: Pick: Over 10.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Left-hander Jason Vargas (3-5) will come to the mound for the Mets for this contest looking to end a two-game skid.  He is coming off a horrible outing versus one of the worst hitting teams in the MLB in the Miami Marlins in a six earned, two-home run performance in just 5 1/3 innings of pitching.  And while Perez struggled versus New York in their last meeting, look for him to bounce back as the Twins will win this game convincingly.

Prediction: Pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

Again, look for the home team to jump out to an early lead as Vargas has gained a reputation for being generous to opponents from the hill.  With the Twins chomping at the bit to ramp up their dangerous offense, look for Minnesota to pull ahead in what will be a high-scoring affair.

Prediction: Pick: Minnesota Twins -0.5

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

While six runs are alot, look for the over to be the strong play after five innings as neither pitcher has shown that they can be consistent this season.  These flaws will certainly be on display on Wednesday as both teams will take advantage of these flaws.  With that being the case, look for both teams to have some opportunities to score early and often in this matchup.

Prediction: Pick: Over 6

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

Look for the Twins to grab control of this game early as they will rely on their dangerous offense to push some runs across the plate versus Vargas.  Perez will definitely be looking for a much better outing versus New York than what transpired in his most recent start.  It is for this reason, along with the Twins needing a win to remain only a couple games ahead of the surging Cleveland Indians, that the home team will show and prove on Wednesday afternoon.

Prediction: Pick: Minnesota Twins -160

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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