Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Busch Stadium
When: Wednesday, July 17, 2019, 1:15 pm Eastern
We have a National League Central matchup to consider for Wednesday afternoon when the Pittsburgh Pirates and St Louis Cardinals meet for game three of their three-game series. This preview was written prior to the conclusion of Tuesday MLB contests and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night MLB action.
Pittsburgh is fourth in the NL Central and plans on starting right-hander Chris Archer against St Louis. The Cardinals is second in the Central division and scheduled righty Daniel Ponce de Leon as their probable starter. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Pirates Four Game Losing Streak
Pittsburgh has lost four straight and six of their last 10 games and has allowed 29 runs over their last four games. The Pirates has been outscored by 55 runs and has a 22-28 record away from PNC Park this season. Infielder Josh Bell leads the Pirates with 27 home runs with 84 RBI and a team-high .295 batting average.
.@Starlingmart becomes just the second player in Pirates history to hit at least 100 home runs and steal at least 200 bases (Barry Bonds, 176 HRs/251 SBs from 1986-92).#LetsGoBucs pic.twitter.com/9Ec8yk7jQj
— Pirates (@Pirates) July 13, 2019
Archer (3-6, 5.42 ERA) has a 1.43 WHIP and his 4.61 xFIP suggests maybe some positive regression is headed the right-hander’s way at some point this season. Archer has allowed 13 earned runs over the past 25 innings pitched and strikes out 10.42 per nine innings pitched with 4.57 walks and 2.23 home runs per nine innings pitched.
The Cardinals average 4.52 runs per game with 45 home runs at Busch Stadium with 80 bombs against right-handed pitching this season.
Cardinals Three Game Winning Streak
St Louis is two games behind the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central standings and is 6-4 over their previous 10 games and enter Tuesday night riding a three-game winning streak. The Cardinals has outscored their opponents by 12 runs and has a 27-19 record at Busch Stadium this season. Injured outfielder Marcel Ozuna won’t be playing in this series but leads the Cardinals with 20 bombs, a team-high 62 RBI and with a club-high .259 batting average.
We have placed Matt Carpenter (right foot contusion) on the 10-day IL and recalled rookie INF Edmundo Sosa from Memphis (AAA). pic.twitter.com/gobERubAmm
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) July 16, 2019
Ponce de Leon (1-0, 1.99 ERA) has an elite 0.82 WHIP and his 3.88 xFIP suggests maybe some regression might be headed his way at some point this season. Ponce de Leon has allowed five earned runs over his last 16.2 innings pitched and strikes out 10.80 per nine innings pitched with 3.13 walks and 1.14 home runs per nine innings pitched.
Pittsburgh averages 4.36 runs per game with 54 home runs away from PNC Park and has ripped 76 home runs against right-handed pitching
- Pirates are 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts.
- Pirates are 4-1 in Archer’s last 5 starts on grass.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
There is value to be had here and playing the Pirates to beat the Cardinals is the play on Wednesday. Archer has been good lately and the Bucs has won four of his last five starts. Ponce de Leon has been good but I see Pittsburgh getting to him and ending their six-game road trip with a win.
Cash with the Flash and play the Pirates to beat the Cardinals Wednesday afternoon.
Full-Game Total Pick
I don’t see that many runs scored on Wednesday afternoon as both these pitchers have been pretty efficient over their last five outings. Umpire Adrian Johnson is behind the dish and these trends might be helpful Wednesday afternoon.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Johnsons last 4 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Wednesday night.
Prediction: Under 9 Runs