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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 7-19-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 Boston
Red Sox -195
#966 Baltimore
Orioles 10

Friday, July 19, 2019 at 7:08pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox
D. PRICE

53 - 44

7
W's
2
L's
3.16
ERA
1.15
WHIP

Baltimore Orioles
J. MEANS

29 - 66

5
W's
5
L's
3.11
ERA
1.1
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Boston Red Sox take on the Baltimore Orioles on Friday in the first game of a three-game weekend series. The Red Sox are 53-44 while the Orioles are 29-66. Left-hander David Price (7-2) gets the start for the Red Sox, while left hander John Means (7-5) gets the start for the Orioles. Game time is 7:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

Red Sox lead the league in hitting

The Boston Red Sox got themselves back into contention after a horrible start but now, as the second half is underway, they need to pick it up a notch if they want to make the playoffs and that starts with doing no worse than winning 2 out 3 against the lowly Orioles. They are coming off a series where they took 2 out of 3 against the Blue Jays to improve to 53-44. Chris Sale got the win, allowing 0 runs in 6 innings. Mookie Betts and Rafael Devers each had home runs. The Sox are 9.5 games behind the Yankees.

The Red Sox offense is back in a big way. They are the top scoring team in the MLB with an average 5.65 runs per game. They have a team batting average of .273, which is also 1st in the league, and a team slugging percentage of .463, which is 9th. They are 12th in home runs. Rafael DeversĀ is having a monster year batting .326 with 19 HRs and 73 RBIs, as is Xander Bogaerts, who is hitting .274 with 21 HRs and 74 RBIs. JD Martinez is hitting .289 with 19 HRs and 49 RBIs while Mookie Betts is hitting .281 with 14 HRs and 44 RBIs, Rookie Michael ChavisĀ has continued to hit well, batting .261 with 16 HRs and 52 RBIs, while while Andrew Benintendi is hitting .268 with 7 HRs and 42 RBIs.

Red Sox pitching has been their problem, especially the bullpen. They have a team ERA of 4.64, which is 18th in the league, and a team WHIP of 1.35, which is 16th. David Price takes the hill for Boston Friday. The left-hander is 7-2 with a 3.16 ERA. He has been their best starter this year and has won his last 3 starts.

Orioles get big game from Mancini

Wins don’t come easy for the Orioles but they got asn easy win on Wednesday against the Nationals. They beat the Nats 9-2 in an interleague match up. The O’s offense erupted for 14 hits, led by Trey Mancini who went 2 for 3 with 2 home runs and three RBIs. Anthony Santander and Rio Riuz both had 2 hits and 2 RBIs, while Stevie Wilkerson, Chance Cisco, and Chris Davis all had 2 hits each for Baltimore. Gabriel Ynoa (1-6) got the win in relief of starter Aaron Brooks. The Orioles improved to 29-66, 32 games behind the first place Yankees. They have the worst record in the AL.

They offensive outburst was not typical. The Orioles only average 4.1 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They hit just .239 as a team, which is 26th, and they have a slugging percentage of .399, which is 28th in baseball. They are 23rd in home runs. Trey Mancini leads the Orioles, hitting .285 with 19 HRs and 43 RBIs. Jonathan Villar is hitting .255 with 10 HRs and 39 RBIs while Dwight Smith Jr. is batting .230 with 11 HRs and 44 RBIs. Renato Nunez is hitting .245 with a team-high 21 home runs and 51 RBIs while Stevie Wilkerson is hitting .232 with 8 HRs and 26 RBIs.

The pitching is absolutely horrible. They have a team ERA of 5.66, which is 30th in the MLB. They have a team WHIP of 1.46, which is also 25th in the league. John Means gets the start for the Orioles. The left-hander is 7-5 on the year with an ERA of 2.94. He has been their best pitcher this year, but last time out he got rocked for 6 runs in 6 innings.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take the Red Sox. All signs point to a Red Sox win. Price is on the mound and he has been their most consistent pitcher in what has been a very inconsistent year for Boston pitching. They are facing an Orioles team that is the worst in baseball so if the Red Sox want to be in the post season and defend their World Series title, these are the types of games you have to win. I like them to get it done here. Price owns the Orioles as the Red Sox are 8-0 in Prices last 8 starts vs. Orioles. Also, the Red Sox are 25-6 in the last 31 meetings in Baltimore.

Prediction: Boston -205

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under. I’m going with the under here. The Orioles won’t do much against Price, given how bad they are offensively. But they do have one thing going for them, John Means, who is their only good pitcher. He’ll keep the hard-hitting Sox at bay at least enough to keep this in the under. The under is 11-5-1 in Prices last 17 starts on grass. Also, the under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 in Means’ last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Prediction: Under

David Shields

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