Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Wrigley Field
When: Saturday, July 20, 2019, 2:10 pm Eastern
We have a National League MLB contest to consider when the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs meet for game two of their scheduled three-game series. This write-up was published prior to the conclusion of Friday night’s MLB action and all opinions are based on the stats from Thursday night’s MLB contests.
San Diego is last in the National League West and scheduled lefty Joey Lucchesi as their starting pitcher against Chicago. The Cubs are first in the NL Central and intend on starting southpaw Jose Quintana against the Padres. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Padres Four Games Out in Wild Card Race
San Diego has really struggled and has lost six of its last 10 games and hopes to end a one-game losing streak on Friday night. That leaves the Padres 16.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West standings and four games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for the second National League Wild Card. San Diego has been outscored by 47 runs and has a .500 record this season away from Petco Park.
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) July 18, 2019
Lucchesi (7-4, 3.92 ERA) has a 1.11 WHIP and his 4.17 xFIP suggests maybe some regression is in store at some point this season. Lucchesi has allowed 11 earned runs over the past 28.2 innings pitched and strikes out 8.55 per nine innings pitched with 2.50 walks and 1.16 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched this season.
Chicago averages 4.94 runs per game and belted 71 bombs out of Wrigley Field this season and has crushed 31 home runs against left-handed pitching this season.
Cubs Two Game Winning Streak
The Cubs have a two-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers and this weekend is a good opportunity to expand that lead with the Padres in town. Chicago has won seven of its last ten games and enters Friday night riding a two-game winning streak. The Cubs has outscored their opponents by 68 runs and has a 34-17 record at Wrigley Field this season.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) July 17, 2019
Quintana (7-7, 4.21 ERA) has a 1.35 WHIP and his 4.38 xFIP suggests maybe some slight regression is in store for the veteran southpaw at some point this season. Quintana has allowed 16 runs over the past 28.1 innings pitched and strikes out 7.40 per nine innings pitched with 2.69 walks and 1.01 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched this season.
The Padres score an average of 5.06 runs per game and have hit 77 home runs away from Petco Park and have clubbed 31 bombs against lefties this season.
- Cubs are 11-4 in Quintana’s last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cubs are 5-2 in Quintana’s last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 22-10 in Quintana’s last 32 home starts.
- Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
- Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Cubs are the better team with the better pitcher and a strong record at home this season. Lucchesi is a good young pitcher but allows nearly six earned runs over 37.1 innings pitched on the road this season.
Cash with the Flash and play the Cubs to beat the Padres.
Full-Game Total Pick
Don’t have any idea what the spread is for this game but I don’t see many runs scored on Saturday afternoon. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful for Saturday afternoon;
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Cash with the Flash and play UNDER on Saturday.