Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Comerica Ball Park
When: Saturday, July 20, 2019, 6:10 pm Eastern
We have an American League matchup to consider when the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers square off for game two of their three-game scheduled series. This write-up was published prior to the end of Friday night’s MLB action and all opinions are based on the stats from Thursday night’s MLB contests.
Toronto is fourth in the American League East and plans for righty Trent Thornton to make the start against Detroit. The Tigers is last in the AL Central Division and scheduled as their probable starter against Toronto lefty Daniel Norris. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this matchup with you today.
Blue Jays Two Game Losing Streak
Toronto is rebuilding and has lost seven of its last ten games and enters this series on Friday hoping to end a two-game losing streak. The Blue Jays are 19.5 games away from the second American League Wild Card and have been outscored by 91 runs this season and have an 18-32 record away from Enterprise Center this season.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) July 18, 2019
Thornton (3-7, 5.25 ERA) has a 1.54 WHIP and his 4.92 xFIP suggests maybe some positive regression is in store for the rookie righty from Charlotte North Carolina. Thornton has allowed 19 earned runs over the last 19.2 innings pitched and strikes out 9.09 per nine innings pitched with 4.13 walks and 1.41 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched.
Detroit scores an AL worst 3.31 runs per game at home this season with just 30 home runs and has clubbed 71 bombs this season against right-handed pitching.
Tigers Four Game Losing Streak
The Tigers are rebuilding and have lost nine of their last 10 games and enters their series with the Blue jays on Friday hoping to end a four-game losing streak. Detroit is 23.5 games out of the Wild Card race, been outscored by 177 runs and boasts a 17-31 record at Comerica Park this season.
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) July 18, 2019
Norris (2-8, 5.14 ERA) has a 1.44 WHIP and his 4.57 xFIP suggests maybe some positive regression is headed the southpaw’s way at some point this season. Norris has allowed 21 earned runs over his past 28.2 innings pitched and strikes out 7.38 per nine innings pitched with 2.34 walks and 1.59 home runs allowed per nine innings pitched.
Toronto scores 4.38 runs per game and has belted 60 home runs away from Enterprise Center this season with 39 home runs against left-handed pitching this season.
- Tigers are 1-10 in Norris’ last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 1-12 in Norris’ last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Tigers are 0-4 in Norris’ last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in Thornton’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
There’s not much to like about this game on Saturday but Thornton has been decent and the Jays bullpen is far and away better than the Tigers bullpen. Norris is a gas can and Toronto is decent against lefties.
Cash with the Flash and play Toronto to defeat Detroit.
Prediction: Blue Jays
Full-Game Total Pick
Vegas hasn’t posted a total yet but I’m sure it will be around 10 runs. That works because with these two pitchers on the hill, and the allegedly juiced baseball, we could see a Coors Field type of score on Saturday. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful for Saturday.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
Cash with the Flash and play OVER on Saturday.