Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
When and Where: Friday August 10 at 7:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
Boston entered Thursday winning six straight games. The Red Sox are the best team in baseball, and they have been for much of the season. Baltimore, however, has struggled this year, sitting nearly 46 games back of Boston. The O’s have lost four of their last six games.
Nathan Eovaldi has been terrific since being acquired from the Rays a couple weeks ago. The righty hasn’t allowed an earned run in 15 innings as he’s won both starts. He’s 5-4 with a 3.38 ERA in 12 starts overall this season. Boston really needed another arm, and so far it’s worked out wonderfully. Eovaldi shouldn’t have much of a problem facing a weak offense in Baltimore.
Rafael Devers delivered a two-run homer coming back from the disabled list in Wednesday’s win over the Blue Jays. Mookie Betts continues to have an MVP caliber season, posting a .346 average to go along with 26 home runs. Betts has collected a hit in six of his previous seven games. This offense is rolling, scoring at least four runs in six straight games.
Pulling Off an Upset
Baltimore, at this point of the season, is playing for the future. The O’s have been a sheer disappointing, ranking near the bottom in both offensive and pitching categories. The O’s are led by Adam Jones, who has 45 RBIs on the season. Trey Mancini delivered a two-run double in the ninth to beat the Rays the other night. Baltimore won the game despite committing five errors.
Dylan Bundy has a tough matchup facing the best offense in baseball, even though Bundy himself is coming off a terrific start. Bundy allowed an earned run over 6.1 innings against the Rangers his last time out. He’s 7-10 with a 4.38 ERA. He recently had a streak of three straight games where he allowed exactly five earned runs in each game. He could very well have a difficult time with the Red Sox.
- Orioles are 6-16 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 13-38 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.
- Orioles are 2-6 in Bundys last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Bundys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Orioles are 1-4 in Bundys last 5 starts.
- Red Sox are 17-4 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Boston has been terrific this year, and it’s hard to see Baltimore slowing them down. The Red Sox are even getting healthier as Devers returned from the DL recently.
Prediction: Boston -168
Full-Game Total Pick
Boston should be able to score some runs on Bundy and Baltimore’s relief pitchers. But will the O’s be able to do anything on Boston? Eovaldi has been tremendous for the Red Sox in his first two starts with the club.
Prediction: Over 9
Full-Game Prop Bet
First Five Innings Side Pick
Boston should be able to get off to a fast start, especially with Eovaldi on the mound. The Red Sox offense will likely strike first.
Prediction: Boston -190
First Five Innings Total Bet
The Red Sox could very well score five runs before the fifth, but there’s a chance Boston only scores a couple and Baltimore struggles to score any. It’s not a confident pick, but going under five runs through the first five innings feels like the right call.
Prediction: Under 5
First Five Innings Prop Prediction