Milwaukee Brewers (66-51) vs. Atlanta Braves (62-49)
Where and when: SunTrust Park, Atlanta, Georgia, Friday, 7:35 pm EST
Game 1 of a 3-game set against the Milwaukee Brewers and the Atlanta Braves will take place at SunTrust Park in Atlanta, Georgia, on Friday night at 7:35 pm EST. The Brewers are in 2nd place within the NL Central while the Braves are in 2nd place within the NL East division behind the Philadelphia Phillies. In their last outing, the Braves would go up 2 games to 1 on the road versus the Washington Nationals in picking up the 8-3 win on 8-8-2018. The Braves would cash in on the money line as underdogs (+128) while the over was the play with the total being set at 9 runs for the game. Mike Foltynewicz (9-7) would pick up the huge win on the mound for Atlanta as he pitched only 5.2 innings while giving up 3 runs on 6 hits with a homer along with 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.98 for the game while Tommy Milone (1-1) would take the loss for the Nats as he would last 6 innings, yet, would allow 7 runs on 10 hits and 3 homers with an ERA of 5.50 in the loss. Tyler Flowers was 3-4 with 2 RBI’s while Ronald Ocuna Jr and Charlie Culberson had 2 hits apiece with a combined 5 RBI’s in the victory for the Bravos. Anthony Rendon was 3-5 with an RBI for the Nationals while Matt Wieters was 2-4 for the night. The win was the 2nd straight for the Braves and 8th in 10 outings.
The Brewers have hit a rough patch lately, yet, managed to tie a 3-game home set versus the Padres on 8-8-2018 by picking up an 8-4 victory to where they would cash in on the money line (-200) while the over would be the result with runs being set at 8.5 runs for the game. With 14 hits for the game, the Brew Crew’s Orlando Arcia was 3-4 with an RBI while Travis Shaw and Jesus Anguilar each had 2 hits with a combined 5 RBI’s in the victory. Mike Moustakas and Lorenzo Cain each had 2 hits for the Brewers as well. Jhoulys Chacin (11-4) was not as sharp as usual on the mound for Milwaukee, however, he picked up the win as he pitched 6 innings while allowing 3 runs on 6 hits, and 1 homer with a 3.91 for the game. Brett Kennedy (1-1) would suffer the loss for the Padres as he would go 4 innings while giving up 6 runs on 11 hits and 3 homers with an ERA of 13.50 in the loss. Hunter Renfroe was 2-4 with 2 RBI’s for San Diego while Austin Hedges was also 2-4. The win halted a 2-game skid for Milwaukee, however, they have lost 4 of their last 7 after winning 7 of their prior 9 games.
Pitcher for Brewers Not Determined
The Brewers pitching staff has had a rough season to where they have been up and down all year long. Aside from Chacin, they have not been effective enough to win consistently and retake the top spot from the Cubs. Nonetheless, they take to the road to battle the Braves to where they allowed 14 runs over 4 games in their 4-game set in Milwaukee earlier in the season. Nonetheless, it will be interesting to see how a staff that has surrendered 15 runs in their first 2 games versus San Diego in their current set, will approach the dangerous batters for the Braves offense that has plated an average of 5 runs per game in their last 4 outings.
Pitcher for Braves Not Determined
The Braves pitching staff has not been overwhelming (in any sense) in recent outings; However, they have been able to get strong performances from their starters when needed. In all, they are allowing teams to put up an average of 4 runs per in their last 3 games while the over being 2-1 during this time. It seems as if they are attempting to regain their form from late July leading into early August to where they would allow a total of 20 runs in 7 games and to where the team was 6-1 during this time. Getting the win may indeed be a tough task as the Brewers, as stated, have found ways to put runs on the board lately, despite their overall record in recent ou.tings
- The Braves are 8-2 in last 10 games
- The Braves are 8-2 in last 10 games on grass
- The Braves are 4-12 in last 16 Friday games
- The Brewers are 7-2 in last 9 Friday games
- The Over is 9-4-1 in Brewers last 14 Friday games
- The Over is 13-6-1 in Brewers last 20 road games
- The Brewers are 8-17 in last 25 games versus Braves in Atlanta
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
With no pitchers being named for this contest along with both teams winning 5 of the last 10 matchups each, it would be important to note that the Braves won a 3-game set against the Brewers on 6-23-2017. Atlanta, overall, has indeed been the most consistent squad of the two recently, as the stats point out; However, the Brewers look to get back on track against a team that they played well against earlier in the year at Miller Park. With that being said, I will back the Braves to pick up a win in the opener simply due to the fact that they have been playing solid, once again, after a rough patch to where they dropped 5 of 7 directly after the All-Star break. Since, they have been on a tear and will look forward to taking advantage of a pitching staff that has allowed 37 runs in their last 5 road games while neutralizing an offense that has put up 25 runs in their last 4 outings, yet, averaging only 3 runs per in their last 3 road matchups.
Prediction: Pick: Atlanta Braves
Full-Game Total Pick
Again, the Braves have gotten themselves back on track and look to gain some ground on the Phillies in their effort to take over the top spot within their respective division. The Brewers, on the other hand, are chasing the top-ranked Cubs in the NL Central and would love nothing better than to extend their current winning streak against a team that they performed well in head to head action against in 2018 (thus far). Both offenses have been putting some runs up lately, yet, with no pitchers to analyze, I would have to back the over in this contest in that it has been the result in 3 of the last 4 matchups amongst these two teams while being the play in 5 of the last 7 for the Brew Crew and in 3 of the last 4 for the Braves.
Prediction: Pick: Over
Full-Game Prop Bet
All signs point to this matchup as being a close and competitive one, however, I will back the Braves to perform well at home in which to extend their recent stretch of solid play. On the strength of their offense, Atlanta will indeed wear down the Brewer pitching over time in which to gain some timely hits. Of course, the Brewers will also be looking to tee off on a Braves staff that has given up its fair share of homers recently as well, thus making things interesting along the way.
Prediction: Pick: Atlanta Braves +1.5
First Five Innings Side Pick
The Braves have played much better recently than the Brewers have. In fact, they have won 3-straight at SunTrust Park while winning 4 of their last 7 overall. The Brewers, on the other hand, have dropped 3 of their last 5 road games to where their pitching gave up a total of 37 runs, with their last road loss being a 21-5 road loss to the Dodgers. Expect the Braves to come up with more than enough runs to maintain a slim lead after 5 innings.
Prediction: Pick: Atlanta Braves -110
First Five Innings Total Bet
The over has been the play in 3 of the last 5 games for the Braves while being the result in the last 3 games for the Brewers. Combine this with the fact that the Braves and Brewers tend to really work their pitching counterparts for effective at bats along with the fact that both staffs have not been as effective as of late, I will back the over after 5 innings as both teams will certainly have ample opportunities to score early.
Prediction: Pick: Over 4.5
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
In their last 3 home games, the Braves have averaged 6.6 runs per game. During their finale against the Dodgers in a 4-game set in which they dropped along with a 3-game set with the Marlins in which they won games 1 & 2, yet, did not play the finale due to inclement weather, the Braves jumped on their opponents early and often. I expect this trend to continue against a Brewers team that has allowed 56 runs in their last 7 outings, overall. In other words, the Braves will possess a big lead going into the 6th.
Prediction: Pick: Atlanta Braves +0.5