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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins,
8-10-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 New York
Mets -115
#954 Miami
Marlins 7.5

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets
Z. WHEELER

47 - 65

6
W's
6
L's
3.89
ERA
1.25
WHIP

Miami Marlins
J. URENA

47 - 69

3
W's
11
L's
4.66
ERA
1.26
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

New York Mets (47-65, 23-28 Away) at Miami Marlins (47-69, 27-33 Home)

MLB: Friday, August 10, 2018, Marlins Park, Miami, Florida, 7:10 PM ET

The New York Mets were in a poor form of four consecutive losses, but they responded with three wins in the next five games, including the latest massive one over the Cincinnati Reds in the closing game of the series. On the other hand, the Miami Marlins are in a disastrous run of eight defeats in the previous nine games and they are at the bottom of the NL East, so this series will give us an answer which team will be at the bottom after it.

The pitching matchup for Friday’s tilt will give us Zack Wheeler for New York Mets against the Miami Marlins’ Jose Urena. First pitch was set for 7:10 PM ET.

The Mets destroyed the Reds in the concluding game of the series

New York opened the series with the Reds with a win, and although Cincinnati answered with a 6-1 win in the following clash, the Mets bounced back with a massive, 8-0 victory. The Mets recorded only one hit more than Cincy, but the hosts couldn’t convert either of their seven, so New York deserved the victory in the end.

Zack Wheeler is listed as a starting pitcher against the Miami Marlins, and he’s coming from a 3-7 record in 2017, a 5.21 ERA, a 1.59 WHIP, 40 walks, and 81 strikeouts in 17 games in total. Wheeler started 21 games in this season and has six wins and six losses as he pitched 127 innings, allowing 116 hits and 57 runs with 43 walks and 125 strikeouts. The Mets are 5-0 in Wheeler’s last five starts; 0-4 in Wheeler’s previous four Friday starts, while they are 2-8 in Wheeler’s last ten starts during game one of a series.

The Marlins lost the last two games of the series with St. Louis

Miami opened the series with the St. Louis Cardinals with a narrow, 2-1 win, but the visitors responded with a pair of victories and closed the series with a 7-1 win. The Marlins had a 1-1 result in the second inning but the Cards scored a couple of runs in the sixth, eighth, and ninth innings to beat them, while St. Louis’ defense allowed just four bases and Miami recorded only three hits.

Jose Urena is set to start against the New York Mets, and he’s coming from a 14-7 record in 2017, a 3.82 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, 64 walks, and 113 strikeouts in 34 games overall (28 starts). Urena started 22 games in this campaign and has three wins and 11 losses as he pitched 123 innings, allowing 120 hits and 65 runs with 36 walks and 101 strikeouts. The Marlins are 7-19 in Urena’s last 26 starts; 2-8 in Urena’s previous ten starts vs. National League East opponents, while they are 3-7 in Urena’s last ten starts during game one of a series.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

New York won six out of the previous ten H2H encounters including the last one, while the Mets were victorious in four out of the past six meetings at the Marlins Park. I am not impressed with New York’s displays this year, but Miami is also not playing well, so it’s going to be a tight one; however, I am going with the visitors on this one.

Prediction: New York Mets (-120)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

For those who prefer playing on the points, under is 5-1-1 in the last seven duels; under is 4-1 in Wheeler’s previous five road starts vs. Marlins, while under is 3-1-1 in Urena’s past five starts vs. Mets.

Prediction: Under 7.5 (-120)

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Miami didn’t score more than three runs in each of the previous seven games and I am not impressed with their offense at the moment, so even though they are facing other strugglers, I don’t think they will score 4+ on this one.

Prediction: Team Totals: Miami Marlins Under 3.5 (-125)

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

Although they lost six out of the last seven games, Miami trailed after the first five innings in only two of those, so it’s evident that they are better early in the game, so I am backing them to be up after the first five here.

Prediction: Miami Marlins (+105)

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

These are the two least efficient teams in the National League, so not only that I don’t expect to see plenty of runs, I also believe we will have a rather slow and uninteresting clash with under four runs in the opening five innings.

Prediction: Under 4 (-120)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

I anticipate a scoreless first inning and I don’t think the teams will combine for more than two hits, so I am backing under two hits as I believe the opening inning will go without any excitements.

Prediction: 1st Inning Hits: Under 2 Hits (-105)

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