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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres,
8-10-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#961 Philadelphia
Phillies -125
#962 San Diego
Padres 8

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
Z. EFLIN

64 - 50

8
W's
3
L's
3.61
ERA
1.11
WHIP

San Diego Padres
J. NIX

46 - 71

0
W's
0
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Philadelphia Phillies (64-50, 26-32 Away) at San Diego Padres (45-71, 20-36 Home)

MLB: Friday, August 10, 2018, PETCO Park, San Diego, CA, 10:10 PM ET

The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to themselves off after a disappointing 1-2 slump to the Arizona Diamondbacks. With the surging Atlanta Braves breathing down their necks for first place in the National League East, the Phillies can’t afford complacency against the NL-worst San Diego Padres. Meanwhile, the Padres are merely trying to keep their heads above water in a division that has left them stranded and treading in the deep end.

Eye on the prize for the Phillies

The Phillies wouldn’t mind loosening their neckties a bit in what is turning into a tight NL East race.

A three-game series against the Padres presents a perfect opportunity to put a comfortable distance between themselves and the rest of the division. The Braves are only two games behind for first place, while last year’s NL East champion Washington Nationals remain six games within striking distance.

Fortunately for the Phillies, the baseball gods are dropping the Padres off on their doorstep for a legitimate opportunity to pull ahead. They could certainly use a lift-me-up after getting shut out by the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.

The Padres are expected to roll out right-handed pitcher Jacob Nix for an MLB debut, which could potentially set the stage for a big hitting day for the Phillies. Perhaps even Scott Kingery can get in on the action and finally put an end to his ridiculously long hitless streak (0-20).

Padres looking to make noise in the NL East

The Padres are beginning a three-game series against the top NL East team with a young pitcher preparing to get his first real crack in the big leagues. What could possibly go wrong?

The easy answer is plenty, as it has been for the Padres throughout the 2018 MLB season.

However, there is hope they could catch the Phillies slipping and buck the odds in their favor. They were fairly dominant in a surprise upset of the Phillies on the road back in July, even though they went on to lose a 2-1 series.

Nix did enough to turn heads in the minors with a 1.84 ERA in arguably the league’s best farm system.

If the Padres can at least be consistent on offense, they could put themselves into position to take the series. The Phillies might have one of the top-ranked NL teams, but they also have one of the worst defenses in MLB.

Granted, the dreadful Padres’ offense will have to be much better than it has been to take advantage of the many opportunities they are sure to get.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Phillies might have issues on defense, but the Padres clearly have issues everywhere. It’ll be a rough first night for Nix as he attempts to get acclimated to the big stage. The soothing sound of bats making contact will be enough to put Phillies’ fans at ease after a disappointing performance against the Diamondbacks.

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies -128

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The Padres have scored 25 runs in their last three games combined. They should continue to score in bunches against their defensively-challenged opponents. As for the Phillies, a greater sense of urgency following a terrible hitting day on Wednesday should make for a greater effort coming off a day’s rest.

Prediction: Over 8

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The Phillies have scored over four runs in two of the last three meetings against the Padres. They even managed to run up the scoreboard to 11 runs in Game 1 of the first series back in July. It’ll be deja vu when the two teams square off again on Friday.

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies Total Runs: Over 4 (-150)

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

Nix is too inexperienced on this stage to expect him to somehow jump out to a fast start. There will likely be some jitters before he settles on the mound.

Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

You’re watching the wrong baseball game if you’re expecting a great defensive showing from either team. The hits will come early and more often for the Phillies.

Prediction: Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

The Phillies need to show some life on offense after a lackluster hitting night against the Diamondbacks. If they can’t tee off early against a new pitcher in Nix, there could be bigger problems on the horizon.

Prediction: First 5 Innings Winner: Philadelphia Phillies (-105)

Jordy McElroy

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