Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Yankee Stadium
When: Wednesday, August 14, 2019, 1:05 pm Eastern
We have an American League East matchup to discuss when the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees meet for game four of their scheduled four-game series. This preview was written prior to the start of game three and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night’s MLB action.
Baltimore is last in the American League East and right-hander Dylan Bundy is the probable starting pitcher against New York. The Yankees are first in the American League East and lefty J.A. Happ is their probable starting pitcher against the Orioles on Wednesday afternoon.
Orioles Lose Twice To Yankees on Monday
The Orioles have lost seven of their last 10 games and enter Tuesday hoping to end a two-game losing streak thanks to dropping both games of a doubleheader to the Yankees on Monday. Being 39.5 games behind the Yankees in the East and 30.5 games back in the American League Wild Card race means the Orioles don’t have any hopes for playing in the postseason. Baltimore has been outscored this season by an MLB worst 237 runs and has a 25-37 record away from Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
For the 'Hanser can only hit against lefties' crowd ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/9GNwqLkVfM
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) August 13, 2019
Bundy (5-12, 5.04 ERA) has a 1.35 WHIP and his 4.66 xFIP suggests maybe Bundy has been a bit unlucky and could see some positive regression at some point this season. Bundy has allowed 17 earned runs over the last 23.1 innings pitched and strikes out 9.29 per nine innings pitched with 3.07 walks and 1.89 home runs allowed per nine innings this season.
New York averages 5.49 runs per game with 108 bombs this season at Yankee Stadium and has blasted an American League-leading 163 home runs against right-handed pitching this season.
Yankees Three Game Winning Streak
New York is running away with the American League East and has a nine-game divisional lead over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yankees have won eight of its last 10 games and enter their Tuesday matchup with Baltimore riding a three-game winning streak. New York has outscored its opponents by 159 runs and is 45-18 at Yankee Stadium this season.
"You gotta put four fingers up when Torres comes to the plate, cause when he comes around 3rd it's too late." -Gary Thorne pic.twitter.com/M1W1FVOGci
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) August 13, 2019
Happ (9-7, 5.48 ERA) has a 1.35 WHIP and his 4.92 xFIP suggests maybe Happ has been a bit unlucky and could see some positive regression at some point this season. The veteran lefty has allowed 21 earned runs over his previous 25 innings pitched with 7.13 strikeouts per nine innings pitched while walking 2.40 and allowing 2.18 bombs per nine innings pitched this season.
The Orioles average 4.43 runs per game with 68 dingers away from Oriole Park at Camden Yards and has smashed 53 bombs against left-handed pitching this season.
- Yankees are 10-2 in Happ’s last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 9-2 in Happ’s last 11 starts vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 6-20 in Bundy’s last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-22 in Bundy’s last 28 starts vs. American League East.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I don’t think the juice will be outrageous with Happ on the Hill and we almost have to play the Yankees against Dylan Bundy. This season Bundy has been decent away from Oriole Park at Camden Yards, but he’s still a gas can and the Yankees crush righties. Happ has been mediocre all season but I think he’ll be able to do enough to beat Baltimore Wednesday afternoon.
Full-Game Total Pick
We don’t have a total but with two gas cans on the hill, I expect to see some runs scored on Wednesday. I saw the following trends that might be helpful to you.
- Over is 5-1 in Happ’s last 6 starts vs. Orioles.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Bundy’s last 7 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 44-10-1 in the last 55 meetings.
- Over is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings in New York.