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Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Diego Padres Prediction,
and Odds - 8-14-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#973 Tampa Bay Rays
Rays 115
#974 San Diego Padres
Padres -115

Wednesday, August 14, 2019 at 3:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Tampa Bay Rays

71 - 50


San Diego Padres

55 - 64


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

On Wednesday, the final game of the San Diego Padres-Tampa Bay Rays series will be played at Petco Park in San Diego. Tampa Bay has won the first two games, outscoring San Diego 17-9. First pitch is set for 3:40 P.M ET on Wednesday.

Padres Trying to Avoid Sweep

The 2019 season isn’t really about wins and losses for the San Diego Padres, rather, it’s about figuring out what they have. The team has a lot of young talent, highlighted by Fernando Tatis Jr. and Hunter Renfroe, to go along with the blue-chip free agent signing they acquired in the offseason, Manny Machado. If things go correctly, they’ll be a postseason team in a year or two, but this year is about forward progress.

All things considered, progress is being made. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the best hitter in the Padres’ batting order, having put together a 2019 season that boasts a .317 batting average and .969 OPS. Combined with Renfroe and Machado, the trio has 79 home runs this season (Renfroe 31, Machado 26, Tatis Jr. 22).

As for the pitching staff, they also have several homegrown pitchers that have fans and the front office excited, including Cal Quantrill, a former first-round pick. Quantrill has a 3.21 ERA in 16 appearances (11 starts), including a seven-inning, five-hit gem in his most recent outing.

Rays on Fire Right Now

It’s a good time to be a Tampa Bay Rays fan. Over the course of their last five games, the Rays haven’t lost a game, improving their record to 71-50 on the season. That’s good for a spot in the AL Wild Card right now, three games ahead of the next closest team.

Since the second half began, the Rays offense has been performing very well. They’ve averaged more than five runs/game offensively while posting an .803 OPS. More importantly, their batting order has been remarkably consistent; nine different hitters (min. 30 AB) are hitting .250 or better.

On the pitching side, good things have also been happening. In August alone, the pitching staff has posted a 2.88 ERA while winning nine of 11 games. On Wednesday, one of their better “starters” will go against San Diego, Jalen Beeks. In 41.1 innings on the road this year, Beeks has a 1.96 ERA and 3-0 W-L record.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Although Jalen Beeks isn’t your typical starter, he’s effective when he gets chances and the bullpen is strong enough to finish the job. Plus, when he’s away from The Trop, he gets batters out with ease; in 40-plus innings on the road, he has a 1.96 ERA and .229 BAA. As for the offense, they’re red-hot in August. They’ve scored 62 runs in 11 games, posting an .813 OPS in the process. Bottom line, the Rays are playing great baseball right now and they have all the momentum. San Diego, while young and exciting, simply doesn’t have a lot to play for and they’re 0-9 in their last nine games against Tampa.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Full-Game Total Pick

Aside from Beeks, San Diego’s starter, Cal Quantrill, is also solid. Even if he gets in trouble, he does a good job at limiting mistakes. That definitely helps our under here. Plus, Petco Park is notoriously friendly to pitchers; this year, the ballpark is the fourth friendliest to pitchers, according to ESPN.

Ignore the fact that six of their last eight meetings have gone over, too. These things even out. The Rays-Padres matchup is due for an under and this is a great spot.

Prediction: Under

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

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