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Monday evening will bring Game 1 of a brand new series between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins. First pitch is set for 8:10 P.M ET and will feature Ivan Nova (CWS) and Kyle Gibson (MIN) as the starting pitchers.
ChiSox Coming Off Tough Stretch
When the second half of the MLB season began, the Chicago White Sox had hopes that they might be contending for a postseason spot. They were, after all, just a few games below .500 at the All-Star break. Over a month has passed, however, and they’ve fallen completely out of the race. The White Sox have gone 13-24 since the break, including three losses in their last four games.
Luckily, they’ll get to start anew on Monday with their series against Minnesota. Also, they’re lucky that Ivan Nova is pitching for them, as Nova has been one of the hottest (and most surprising) pitchers in all of baseball recently.
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) August 14, 2019
In his last five starts, Nova has thrown five gems; across 37 innings he’s allowed just two earned runs and six walks, and the White Sox have won all five games. His last outing was a complete game performance where he gave up just four hits total.
Minnesota on a Hot Streak
The Minnesota Twins are on a tear right now, winning four games in a row and five of their last six. According to ESPN, the Twins, who lead their division with a 76-48 record, have a 98.4-percent chance of making the postseason.
During their four-game win streak, all of which came against the Texas Rangers on the road, the offense for the Twins was clicking on all cylinders. They scored 35 runs in four games (8.75/game), highlighted by a 13-run and 12-run performances. Marwin Gonzalez led the way during the series, hitting safely in all four games, including two three-hit games and a four-hit game. Overall, he went 11-for-18 in the series, including a walk and six runs batted in. Right fielder Jake Cave also contributed greatly, coming out of nowhere with six hits in the series. Earlier in the week, Marwin Gonzalez also hit a go-ahead three-run home run in a 7-5 win over Milwaukee, which can be seen below.
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) August 14, 2019
Moving forward, the Twins look to be in a good position as well. Kyle Gibson, who has the second-most wins on the team (11), will start the series opener against the White Sox. Gibson pitches well at home, holding opposing hitters to a .218 batting average this year. Plus, he’s 7-2 at Target Field in 2019. Less than a month ago, Gibson threw a gem against these very White Sox. Minnesota won 11-1 behind a six-inning, one earned run performance from Gibson.
- 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.
- 3-0 in their last 3 games vs. CWS with Gibson starting.
- 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. AL Central with Gibson starting.
- 3-11 in their last 14 games vs. MIN.
- 13-24 in their last 37 games overall.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Despite the fact that the Twins are facing Ivan Nova on Monday, one of the hottest pitchers in baseball, they’re in a very good spot. Minnesota, after all, is fighting to hang on to their division lead, while the White Sox have no chance of making the postseason. They have something to play for here and that means a lot, especially with them being at home. Plus, the Twins have tons of momentum going for them — having won four games in a row — and Kyle Gibson is dynamite at home, holding hitters to a .218 batting average.
Prediction: Minnesota Twins -185
Full-Game Total Pick
We know how well Gibson is at holding down hitters at home this year, but we also need to factor in what Nova has done recently, allowing just two earned runs in his last five starts. I think he’s going to slip up a bit in this one because he’s overdue for some sort of trouble, but it’s clear he’s locked in. Look for this game to be a pitcher’s duel between the two righties with Minnesota coming out with a 5-2 victory.
Prediction: Under 9.5