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On Wednesday, the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies will wrap up their series at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The D-Backs have won the first two games of the series, winning 5-3 in Game 1 and 8-7 in Game 2. First pitch is set for 3:40 P.M ET on Wednesday.
Nightmare Second Half Continues for COL
After one game in the second half, the Colorado Rockies were back to .500 and inching towards the postseason. That was really as close as they’d get, though, because since then, the team has totally come apart at the seams. After that win, the Rockies have gone just 12-24, including back-to-back losses to start their current series against Arizona.
The offense hasn’t been the main cause for concern, though. Over the course of the last week, the Rockies offense is hitting .294 as a team, highlighted by Charlie Blackmon (.423 BA), Ryan McMahon (.368 BA), Trevor Story (.364 BA), and Raimel Tapia (.348 BA). McMahon also has four homers in the last week, tied for the most on the team with Nolan Arenado, who also has four but is hitting .269.
— Colorado Rockies (@Rockies) August 21, 2019
The pitching has been rocky in the second half, however, and the main reason why they’ve struggled. In the second half, the unit has posted a putrid 6.45 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Luckily, their best pitcher is going for them in the series finale — Jon Gray. Gray, despite the staff’s struggles, has a 3.64 ERA in the second half, including a 3.57 ERA in August. His last outing was especially stellar: 8 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 7 K.
D-Backs Hanging Tight in Wild Card Race
Don’t look now but the Arizona Diamondbacks are climbing back into the postseason race. They’ve won three games in a row and, though it’s not likely, ESPN is giving them a 6.1% chance to make the postseason. Considering the fact that they were two games under .500 not too long ago, and that they unloaded their biggest asset, Zack Greinke, the notion that they could sneak into the postseason is impressive.
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) August 21, 2019
During their three-game winning streak, the offense has set the tone with runs early and often. They’ve scored 19 runs in three games, including eight in their most recent game, an 8-7 win over Colorado. Shortstop Nick Ahmed has continued his surprising second half, homering in each of his last two games. Ahmed has eight homers in the second half, doing so in 119 at-bats. In the entire first half, he had nine home runs but it was in almost three times as many at-bats (317 AB). Since the break, he has a .961 OPS, 221 points higher than his first-half mark.
On Wednesday, the team will Mike Leake to the hill to keep the good times rolling. Leake has a 9-9 record this year but he’s been shelled regularly since coming over from Seattle. In three starts with the D-Backs, he’s averaging over nine hits allowed per start while posting a 7.71 ERA.
- 0-3 in their last 3 games during Game 3 of series.
- 0-2 in their last 2 games with Leake starting.
- 14-4 in their last 18 Wednesday games with Gray starting.
- 10-3 in Gray’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
- 8-3 in Gray’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Although they’ve lost the first two games of the series, the Rockies haven’t had their ace on the hill for either game. On Wednesday, however, they will, and they’ll be able to avoid a sweep because of it. Jon Gray is coming off one of his best outings of the season, going scattering eight across eight scoreless innings, and he’s posted a 3.61 ERA throughout the entire season. Given that, in addition to the fact that Arizona really struggles against righties (.244 team BA), the Rockies -110 is a rock-solid pick on Wednesday.
Prediction: Colorado Rockies -110
Full-Game Total Pick
There’s plenty to like about the over here: the D-Backs are hot in the batter’s box right now, scoring 19 runs in their last three games, and the Rockies always hit the ball hard. They have a team batting average of .294 over the last week and facing a guy like Mike Leake (7.71 ERA in last three starts) will just amplify that number. Knowing all that, and getting a pretty small posted total (9), you should feel confident with taking the over in this one.
Prediction: Over 9