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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 8-21-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 Milwaukee Brewers
Brewers 105
#910 St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals -105

Wednesday, August 21, 2019 at 7:45pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers
A. HOUSER

64 - 62

1
W's
5
L's
5.28
ERA
1.48
WHIP

St. Louis Cardinals
A. WAINWRIGHT

67 - 57

9
W's
8
L's
4.26
ERA
1.4
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

This Wednesday, there is a National League Central matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals. These teams will face off at about 7:45 PM. This is game three of a three-game series, which will take place at Busch Stadium.

Pitching Matchup: The Brewers will hand the ball to Adrian Houser (5-5, 3.76 ERA) and the Cardinals will counter with Adam Wainwright (9-8, 4.33 ERA).

Milwaukee Starts To Fall In NL Wild Card Race

The Milwaukee Brewers are currently three games back of the St. Louis Cardinals for first place in the NL Central division. However, in addition to being in the hunt for a division title, the Brewers are also in the hunt for an NL Wild Card spot. The Brewers are currently 3.5 games behind the Cubs for second slot in the National League. This deficit has grown a bit over the last week as the Brewers have squandered some serious chances to draw closer in both races and have continued their season-long struggles on the road this season. Specifically, the Brewers are just 28-36 away from Miller Park.

The Brewers have lost four of their last five games and they have gone 16-14 in their last 30 games. Yesterday, they lost only scored four runs and lost to the Cardinals on the road. Leading their attack was Orlando Arcia who had two RBIs. This loss was surprising for the Brewers as the team has been solid against quality opposition this season. Specifically, the Brewers are 38-37 against teams with winning records which is the sixth-best record in the league.

Pitching for the Brewers in this game will be Adrian Houser, who has gone 5-5 with a 3.76 ERA in 27 appearances on the year, including a 3-3 record with a 4.24 ERA in 15 appearances on the road. Righties are hitting .212 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .295. However, he has been okay since the All-Star Break as he has a 3-2 record along with a 3.44 ERA.

The Brewers have been average on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 16th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.81 runs per game, while also ranking 5th in the league with 1.62 home runs per game. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they come in ranked 21st in the league in ERA at 4.73. Meanwhile, the bullpen for the Brewers ranks 18th in the league with a 4.64 ERA.

St. Louis Looks To Extend Lead In NL Central

The St. Louis Cardinals are currently in first place in the NL Central with a small lead over the Chicago Cubs. However, besides being in the hunt for a division title, the Cardinals would also be in possession of the second NL Wild Card spot if they get overtaken by the Cubs for the division lead in the future. The Cardinals have been able to separate themselves a bit due to their excellence at home. Specifically, the Cardinals are 36-23 at home which is the seventh-best home record in the league. However, the Brewers are currently one of the teams that could hypothetically overtake the Cardinals in the NL playoff picture so the Cardinals cannot take this game for granted.

The Cardinals have won four of their last five games and they have gone 19-11 in their last 30 games which is tied for the fourth-best record in the league during that time span. Yesterday, they scored nine runs and beat the Brewers at home. Leading their attack was Dexter Fowler who had a three-run double in the 6th inning. This win was a bit surprising for the Cardinals as they are just 32-35 against teams with winning records this season.

Pitching for the Cardinals in this game will be Adam Wainwright, who has gone 9-8 with a 4.33 ERA in 23 starts on the year, including a 6-2 record with a 2.19 ERA in 11 starts at home. Righties are hitting .250 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .286. However, he has been great since the All-Star Break as he has a 4-1 record with a 4.38 ERA.

The Cardinals have been below average on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 24th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.46 runs per game, while also ranking 28th in the league with 8.15 hits per game. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.98. In addition, the bullpen for the Cardinals ranks 3rd in the league with a 3.73 ERA.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Cardinals have been the better team this season but have been extremely solid at home this season so I trust them in this game. Specifically, the Cardinals are 36-23 at home this season and have a significant pitching advantage with Wainwright on the mound at home where he has a 2.19 ERA this season. Houser has been average at best on the road this season and I do not like the way Milwaukee’s bullpen has pitched lately. Give me the home team as a result.

Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

With both of these teams’ lineups, I have to lean to the under. Both offenses have been unable to generate anything in the first two games of this series and I cannot suddenly expect both of them to wake up Wednesday to send this game over the total. Wainwright has a 2.19 ERA at home this season and has a 1.50 ERA against the Brewers this season so I can see Milwaukee’s offense struggling again in this game. Meanwhile, St. Louis’ offense has not scored five runs in three of its last five games so I do not trust this unit either. Give me the under as a result.

Prediction: Under 8.5

Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.

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