Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Fenway Park
When: Wednesday, August 21, 2019, 7:10 pm ET
We have interleague MLB play for you to consider for Wednesday when the Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox meet for game two of a scheduled, two-game series. This preview was written prior to the start of Tuesday night’s scheduled contest and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night MLB action.
Philadelphia is third in the National League East and they’ve scheduled left-handed pitcher Drew Smyly as their probable starting pitcher against Boston. The Red Sox are third in the American League East and righty Rick Porcello is the probable starting pitcher for Boston against the Phillies.
Phillies Two Game Losing Streak
The Phillies are nine games behind the Atlanta Braves for the top spot in the National League East standings and two games back in the National League Wild Card race. Losing two consecutive games at home to the San Diego Padres didn’t help their cause very much nor has to play .500 ball over their last 10 games. Philadelphia has a six-game stretch against the Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates and winning this short, two-game series with the Red Sox could propel the Phillies on a huge run as they close out the month of August. The Phillies have been outscored this season by 18 runs and are 26-32 away from Citizens Bank Park.
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) August 18, 2019
Smyly (1-1, 4.71) has pitched five games for the Phillies since being acquired from the Texas Rangers at the trade deadline. The veteran southpaw has allowed 15 earned runs over his previous 28.2 innings pitched as a Philly and has struck out 9.23 per nine while allowing 4.84 walks and 2.81 bombs per nine innings pitched over 80 innings pitched for two teams this season.
Boston has scored 38 runs over their last five games and average an American League-high 6.03 runs per game with 102 bombs this season at Fenway Park and has crushed 66 bombs this season against left-handed pitching.
Red Sox Five Game Winning Streak
Boston is 16 games behind the New York Yankees for the American League East lead and six games back in the race for one of two American League Wild Cards. The Red Sox have won seven of their last 10 games and enter Tuesday riding a five-game winning streak but were dealt a huge blow when Chris Sale was ruled out for the season with an elbow injury. Boston has outscored their opponents by 82 runs and has a 33-32 record this season at Fenway Park.
Bogie with that slide and throw!
— Red Sox (@RedSox) August 19, 2019
Porcello (11-9, 5.49 ERA) has a 1.41 WHIP and his 5.36 xFIP suggests maybe the righty has been a bit unlucky and could see some positive regression headed his way at some point this season. Porcello has allowed 16 earned runs over the last 28.2 innings pitched with 7.04 strikeouts per nine innings while allowing 2.45 walks and 1.61 home runs per nine innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia has scored 31 runs over their last five games and scores an average of 4.41 runs per game with 61 bombs away from Citizens Bank Park and has mashed 113 taters against right-handed pitching this season.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Porcello’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
- Red Sox are 14-2 in Porcello’s last 16 interleague starts.
- Red Sox are 8-2 in Porcello’s last 10 Wednesday starts.
- Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 Wednesday games.
- Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
- Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Boston is red-hot and they have the best home offense in the American League and having a pitcher like Drew Smyly and his nearly three-bombs allowed per nine innings pitched must be feeling like an early Christmas present. Especially with the news Red Sox ace, Chris Sale will miss the rest of the season with an elbow injury.
Porcello is no prize and has been up and down all season long. He hasn’t been very good anywhere this season but seems to be better at home with a 5.09 ERA and a winning record of 8-6 at Fenway Park this season. Philly may have scored 31 runs over their last five games, but 26 of those runs were scored at home and Philadelphia isn’t the same team offensively away from Citizens Bank Park.
I’m leaning heavily towards playing the Red Sox to beat the Phillies Wednesday night.
Full-Game Total Pick
We don’t have a total posted yet but we have two pitchers prone to the long ball pitching in a hitters park against two offenses that know how to put on an offensive show.
Philadelphia seems to be getting hot and they know with Smyly pitching that they will need to score at least six runs if they are to come out of Fenway Park with a much-needed victory.
Boston is in the same boat as Philly-they know it will take at least six runs for them to beat anyone with Porcello on the bump. Boston needs this win as badly as Philadelphia does but Smyly is probably worse than Porcello.
I’m leaning towards playing the OVER on Wednesday evening.