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This Thursday, there is a matchup between two National League East teams. Specifically, the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will face off at about 7:20 PM. This is game three of a three-game series, which will take place at SunTrust Park.
Marlins Continue To Struggle At The Plate
The Miami Marlins are sitting well out of a playoff spot in the National League and are only really playing for pride at this point. Unfortunately, pride has not been a successful motivator for this club as the Marlins have played even worse over the last few weeks. Specifically, the Marlins have been struggling all season long to generate runs and that has continued to plague them in the month of August. Specifically, the Marlins have scored one combined run in the first two games of this series. Furthermore, the Marlins have scored less than five runs in four of their last five games. If Miami’s offense continues to struggle on Thursday, this game could get ugly in a heartbeat.
The Marlins have lost each of their last five games and they have gone 2-8 in their last ten games which is the tied for the worst record in the league during that time span. Yesterday, the Marlins got shutout and lost to the Braves on the road. Leading their attack was starting pitcher Caleb Smith who had two hits in two plate appearances. This loss was not surprising for the Marlins as they have been awful on the road this season. Specifically, the Marlins are just 20-41 away from home.
🚨 THE PITCHER HAS 🚨
🚨 2 DOUBLES 🚨
🚨 TONIGHT 🚨
🚨 SORRY IF YOU CAN'T HEAR US OVER ALL THESE SIRENS 🚨
🚨 WE DON'T KNOW HOW TO TURN THEM OFF 🚨 pic.twitter.com/gvPMnMTOwm
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) August 22, 2019
Pitching for the Marlins in this game will be Sandy Alcantara and he has gone 4-11 with a 4.35 ERA in 24 starts this season, including a 2-4 record with 4.06 ERA in 11 appearances on the road. Righties are hitting .254 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .244. He has also been awful since the All-Star break as he is 0-3 with a 5.66 ERA.
The Marlins have been awful on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 29th in the league in scoring, putting up just 3.66 runs per game, while also recording the fewest home runs in the league with just 0.83 home runs per game. On the mound, they have been slightly better as they come into this game ranked 18th in the league with a 4.66 ERA. The bullpen for the Marlins ranks 26th in the league with a 5.13 ERA.
Braves Look To Extend Lead In NL East
The Atlanta Braves enter this game in possession of the NL East division lead. However, the Braves had a much bigger lead a few months ago before other NL East teams like the Mets and Nationals started to heat up recently. The Braves are still six games ahead in the division so it is not that big of a concern but they would obviously like to create some added breathing room if possible. Luckily for the Braves, this game is at home where the Braves have dominated all season long. Specifically, the Braves are 38-27 at home which is the fourth-best record in the league. Miami has had to realize that the hard way as Atlanta is aiming for a three-game sweep in this series at home.
The Braves have won each of their last four games and they have gone 17-13 in their last 30 games. Yesterday, they managed to score five runs and beat the Marlins at home. Leading their attack was Ronald Acuna Jr. who had a two-run home run in the fifth inning. However, the Braves only had three hits as a team yesterday and will need more people to contribute in order to win on Thursday.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 22, 2019
Pitching for the Braves in this game will be Mike Soroka and he has gone 10-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 22 starts on the year, including a 4-2 record with a 4.08 ERA in nine starts at home. Righties are hitting .194 off of him this year, while lefties are hitting .279. He has also been great since the All-Star Break as he has a 2.38 ERA.
The Braves have been solid on offense so far as they come into this game ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.38 runs per game, while also ranking 7th in the league with 1.59 home runs per game. On the mound, they have been serviceable as they come in ranked 13th in the league in ERA at 4.43. The bullpen for the Braves ranks 12th in the league with a 4.38 ERA.
- Braves are 4-0 in Soroka’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Braves are 13-1 in Soroka’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Braves are 11-2 in Soroka’s last 13 starts vs. National League East.
- Marlins are 0-4 in Alcantara’s last 4 road starts.
- Marlins are 1-5 in Alcantara’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Overall, the Braves have looked amazing at home and also have a significant pitching advantage in this game. Soroka is 11-2 this season and now he gets to face a team that has only scored one combined run in the first two games of this series. Meanwhile, Atlanta has one of the best offenses in the league and I expect the Braves to continue performing well on Thursday. Give me the home team in this one.
Prediction: Atlanta Braves
Full-Game Total Pick
The under is 7-0-1 in the last eight meetings in Atlanta and I see this one going under the total as well. Simply put, Miami’s offense is in terrible form and now has to face Atlanta’s best starting pitcher on Thursday. Plus, Alcantara has a decent 3.86 ERA against the Braves this season so he should do a decent job limiting their offense as well. If this game is going over, Atlanta will have to score at least six runs. Take the under in this one.
Prediction: Under 9