Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: T-Mobile Park
When: Wednesday. September 11, 2019, 10:10 pm ET
We have interleague MLB action on Wednesday night when the Cincinnati Reds and Seattle Mariners meet for game two of their three-game scheduled series. This preview was published before the start of this series and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night MLB contests.
Cincinnati is fourth in the National League Central and righty Sonny Gray is the Reds probable starter against Seattle. The Mariners are last in the American League West and lefty Marco Gonzales is Seattle’s probable starter against the Reds.
Reds Building Towards Future
The Reds are probably going to miss the playoffs, but they have plenty of reason to look back at 2019 as a year where they took a solid step forward. Acquiring righty Trevor Bauer at the Trade Deadline was a master move and rookie outfielder Aristides Aquino has 15 dingers and 38 RBI over just 135 at-bats. Infielder Eugenio Suarez has 44 bombs and counting, so I don’t think the Reds are going to care very much if they’ve lost six of their last 10 or have outscored their opponents by five runs. The Reds are headed places and that’s all that matters to them.
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 9, 2019
Gray (10-6, 2.75) has an elite, 1.10 WHIP and his 3.65 xFIP suggests maybe some luck has been involved and the veteran righty could see some regression at some point this season. Gray has allowed four earned runs over his last 29.2 innings pitched and strikes out 10.35 batters per nine innings pitched while allowing 3.43 walks and 0.86 home runs per nine innings pitched this season.
Seattle has scored 16 runs over their past five games and scores an average of 4.70 runs per game with 96 dingers and has belted 154 bombs against right-handed pitching this season.
Mariners Allow 21 Runs to Houston
Seattle started out hot but then decided to unload some contracts and rebuild, and what they have is a last-place American League West team that has been outscored by 134 runs this season. The Mariners have lost eight of their last 10 and enter this series Tuesday night hoping to end a six-game losing drought. Seattle is 36.5 games behind the Houston Astros and has a 29-40 record at T-Mobile Park this season.
FINAL: Astros 21, Mariners 1.
Day off tomorrow and then it’s back home at T-Mobile Park to kick off a three-game set vs. the Reds.
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 8, 2019
Gonzales (14-11, 4.37) has a 1.37 WHIP and his 5.16 xFIP suggests Gonzales has been lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. Gonzales has allowed 16 earned runs over the last 29 innings pitched and strikes out 6.58 hitters per nine innings with 2.52 walks and 1.03 bombs allowed per nine innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati has scored 21 runs over the last five games and scores an average of 4.42 runs per game with 93 bombs away from Great American Ball Park and has slugged 40 dingers against southpaws this season.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Reds are 6-1 in Gray’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Reds are 6-1 in Gray’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Reds are 4-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Sonny Gray has been as close to dominant as he can be and has allowed four earned runs over the last five starts. After the shellacking they got this past weekend by the Astros, the last place the Mariners want to be is at T-Mobile Park with all those empty seats disguised as fans.
Gonzales has been really good this season, and I would have loved to show you highlights of him, but even Mariners Twitter is having a bad season. The Reds are going to get to Gonzales on Wednesday and they won’t be able to score enough runs to do anything about it.
Play the Reds and thank me Thursday.
Full-Game Total Pick
This one has under written all over it. Gray allows an earned run every full moon and Gonzales has been damn good. I think the Reds get a couple of runs early and Gray slams the door shut before turning it over to the bullpen.
I’m rolling with the UNDER on Wednesday.
Prediction: Under 8 Runs