Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
When: Wednesday, September 11, 2019, 7:05 pm ET
We have interleague baseball on Wednesday night when the Los Angeles Dodgers and Baltimore Orioles meet for game two of their three-game scheduled series. This preview was published before the start of this series and all opinions are based on the stats from Monday night MLB action.
Los Angeles is first in the National League West and righty Ross Stripling is the probable starter against Baltimore. The Orioles are last in the American League East and lefty John Means is the Orioles probable starter against the Dodgers.
Dodgers Magic Number is One
Los Angeles should clinch the National League West division title any day now and while the Dodgers must wait until the official day to celebrate, let’s call them what they are and that’s National League West Division Champions. That’s been the case since about May and even though they’ve played .500 ball over their last 10 games, they still have a 17.5 game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Dodgers have outscored their opponents by an NL leading 233 runs and has a 37-32 record away from Dodger Stadium this season.
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) September 10, 2019
Stripling (4-4, 3.42) is one of several Dodgers pitchers who can pitch your lights out and has an above-average 1.14 WHIP and a 3.76 xFIP suggesting maybe Stripling has been a bit lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. Stripling has allowed five earned runs over the last 20 innings pitched and strikes out 8.82 hitters per nine innings pitched while allowing 2.09 walks and 1.21 dingers allowed per nine innings pitched this season.
Baltimore has scored 15 earned runs over their last five games and score 4.37 runs per game with 101 dingers at Oriole Park at Camden Yards and has blasted 115 home runs against righties this season.
Orioles Are a Hot Mess
Baltimore is a mess and has been all season. About the only thing the Orioles do well is fight each other in the dugout. They’ve lost eight of their last 10 and enter this series on Tuesday hoping to end a five-game losing streak. Baltimore has been outscored by 259 runs this season with a record of 22-50 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) September 8, 2019
Means (10-10, 3.50) is one of the few bright spots in a bleak season with an above-average 1.13 WHIP and his 5.51 xFIP suggests he’s been lucky and could see some regression at some point this season. The young Orioles southpaw has allowed 13 earned runs over his previous 29.1 innings pitched with six of those earned runs happening five starts ago at Yankee Stadium. Means strikes out 7.08 batters per nine innings while allowing 2.20 walks and 1.31 dingers per nine innings pitched this season.
Los Angeles has scored 21 runs over their last five games and scored 5.59 runs with 119 bombs away from Dodger Stadium and has belted a National League-leading 79 home runs against southpaws this season.
- Orioles are 13-54 in their last 67 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 2-10 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in Stripling’s last 6 road starts.
- Dodgers are 7-3 in Stripling’s last 10 starts.
- Dodgers are 7-3 in Stripling’s last 10 starts on grass.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
To be honest, I don’t have much interest in this game. If the Dodgers win on Tuesday, they clinch the NL West and will likely be out late celebrating. Since I have no idea what will happen on Tuesday, I’m going to be cautious until I have all the facts.
Means has been terrific over the last four games and it’s a pity he pitches for Baltimore because that kid is good. The Dodgers score a LOT of runs on the road but the pitching sometimes hasn’t been there away from Dodger Stadium.
If it’s a serious game on Wednesday, play the Dodgers on the run line. If the Dodgers clinch on Tuesday night, play the Orioles on the money line because Means will dominate them.
Prediction: Dodgers -1.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Both pitchers have above WHIP stats and they both are good at limiting runs. I fully expect a 4-1 or 3-1 Dodgers victory in a straight-up game and maybe 4-0 if the Dodgers clinch on Tuesday.
I’m playing the UNDER on Wednesday.