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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 9-11-2019
On Wednesday night, the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins will do battle in this NL Central vs NL East Division matchup. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET, with Zach Davies on the mound for Milwaukee Brewers and Pablo Lopez going for Miami.
Television-wise, the matchup will be broadcast on FSWI for Milwaukee and FSFL for Miami.
Brewers Right On Doorstep Of A Wild Card Spot
The Milwaukee Brewers are finally getting hot again. They are a game and a half back of the Chicago Cubs for the second wild card spot and they have won five games in a row. The brew crew are also 7-3 in their last ten games. In September, the Brewers are 7-2 and they just won three out of four against the Cubs and currently taking care of business against the Miami Marlins.
Zach Davies has pitched well this season. However, he did just get out of a five-game losing streak. The Brewers have won his last two starts and he has only given up one run in both starts. He usually pitches five innings, gives up a few runs, and a few hits. Davies controls the game very well and doesn’t give the other team too many chances to score.
During this five-game run, the pitching has been awesome. They have given up three runs or less in four of the last five games. So far, they have won the first two games in this series by the scores of 8-3 and 4-3. Both these games were back and forth battles. Give the Marlins credit for hanging around and they gave the Brewers a quick test, and they passed. Trent Grisham is the player to watch in this series. He is six for nine, with two runs, and two RBI’s. This team is scoring early in games and Christian Yelich is finding ways to get on base even with walks.
Injury update: Yelich fouled a ball off his knee and left Tuesday’s game early. Head coach Craig Counsell wanted to play it safe and took him out of the game. It turns out, Yelich fractured his knee and his season is over.
Marlins Doing Well In Spoiler Role
Yes, the Marlins will lose 100 games this season, but they have actually battled hard in this series. They matched the Brewers well and gave them a run for their money. They might be able to get one game in this series and maybe build some confidence, as they finish the season playing against some NL East Division teams. Miami is 3-6 in September and have lost a couple of close games lately.
Pablo Lopez has had a mix of good and bad starts. His ERA has hovered around five all season. He has seven quality starts out of his 17 outings. The Marlins have lost his last three starts and Lopez is just too inconsistent. One game he throws a gem, the next he gets the hook early. The hook could happen in this game because the Brewers are hot and on a mission.
It’s crazy that the Marlins haven’t won two games in a row since the end of July. With a number like that, you know it’s been a long season. Anyway, Miami has played from behind in this series and they have showed some fight in their game. The box scores have been pretty even and just the bullpen has been giving up the runs. They have guys hitting at the bottom and top of the lineup. If the middle of the lineup can come through with runners in scoring position, then maybe they can get a lead. Garrett Cooper played well in Game 1 and then was shut down in Game 2. With him being in the three spot, he needs to come through.
Once the season is done, head coach Don Mattingly wants to discuss his future with the organization. “I’m in a pretty good spot, in my mind. Honestly, I have to make a choice, too,” he said. “You don’t quite know where next year, too, is going,”
- Marlins are 2-10 in Lopez’s last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Marlins are 1-6 in Lopez’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Marlins are 1-9 in Lopez’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
- Brewers are 22-9 in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Brewers playoff hopes just took a step backwards as they just lost their MVP candidate Yelich to a knee injury. Yelich has been on and off with the bat over the last few weeks and his home run numbers were down. It has been a team effort with the winning streak and maybe this will be extra motivation to win for their best player.
The Marlins are a good hit away from winning one game in this series. Lopez might be able to throw a gem or the Brewers will get hits left and right. Miami needs to produce with runners in scoring position and try not to let the game get away from them in the later innings.
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -156
Full-Game Total Pick
The Brewers have been in a few low scoring, one-run games over the last week or so. They might be down in the dumps with their bats after hearing about the Yelich news. It happens to teams sometimes, where it is just hard to overcome right away. Then again, the whole lineup is hitting well right now, especially the main sluggers.
Marlins need to get past that three-run mark, but it won’t be easy. Miami struggles to score already and the Brewers pitching is in lockdown mode. It looks like another 4-3 win for the Brewers.
Prediction: Under 9