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The Colorado Rockies will attempt to play spoiler here as they host the St. Louis Cardinals. The Rockies have long been eliminated from playoff contention, while the Cardinals are locked in a tight battle for the NL Central. The Cardinals will start Dakota Hudson in this one, while the Rockies will have Antonio Senzatela on the mound. Oddsmakers have the Cards as a modest favorite.
It’s been an enjoyable season for the Cardinals. For a while, it looked like they were getting left behind in the division while the Cubs and Brewers emerged as the top dogs. All the national media attention was on those two teams, which might’ve ended up benefitting St. Louis. They were able to operate under the radar, and quietly made some bold moves like trading for slugger Paul Goldschmidt. They started the year off just so-so, but have been coming into their own ever since. They’re an incredible 37-17 in their last 54 games, and have moved into first place in the NL Central.
— FOX Sports Midwest (@FSMidwest) September 11, 2019
They’ve been slowly but surely building their lead, and have a four-game lead over the Cubs in the division entering Tuesday. As they look to shore up the title, they’ll turn to Dakota Hudson here. Hudson has been having an excellent sophomore season, entering this one with a 3.40 ERA. In his most recent outing, he gave up only one hit and no runs in six innings of work. In four of his last five starts, he’s given up zero runs. Not surprisingly, the Cards are 20-7 in his last 27 starts. He pitched against this Rockies team just a few weeks ago and threw a gem, giving up only two hits and no runs in six innings.
The Rockies‘ season has been the exact opposite as the Cardinals’. The Rockies entered 2019 with high expectations after they made the playoffs last year, but they fell flat on their faces. They got off to a disastrous start, limping out to a 3-12 record. They then snapped out of it and for awhile it looked like they were back on track, but then they collapsed again just as quickly. Things just continued to get worse as they slipped out of contention, and they entered Tuesday at 61-84. They’re in last place in the NL West and have been arguably the worst team in the National League the past couple months, with a 16-45 record in their last 61 games.
As they look to salvage something from this season, they’ll turn to Antonio Senzatela. The 24-year-old showed some flashes the last two years but has been a massive disappointment in his third major league season. Senzatela enters this one with a whopping 7.19 ERA, and is making his fourth start back since being sent down to the minors for a stretch. The AAA assignment clearly didn’t do him any good, as he has given up at least five earned runs in all three of his starts since getting called back up. Not surprisingly, Colorado has lost each of his past four outings. The Rockies have also struggled in this matchup historically, going 17-43 in their last 60 games against the Cardinals.
- 0-4 in Senzatela’s last 4 starts
- 16-45 in their last 61 overall
- 17-43 in their last 60 vs. Cardinals
- 37-17 in their last 54 overall
- 8-2 in Hudson’s last 10 road starts
- 20-7 in Hudson’s last 27 starts
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I love the Cardinals at this price. They’ve been on fire while the Rockies have arguably been the NL’s worst team the past couple of months, so I’m shocked the price is this short. Senzatela has been one of the worst starters in the majors this year, while Hudson has been very solid. In four of Hudson’s last five starts, he’s given up zero runs. He just pitched against this Rockies team a few weeks ago and blanked them, so I think the Cards will win this one pretty easily.
Prediction: Cardinals -160
Full-Game Total Pick
The over also makes a lot of sense. Senzatela hasn’t just been bad, he has been atrocious. He got sent down to the minors for a reason, and has been even worse since getting called back up. As such, I could see the Cardinals sending this one over by themselves. It’s Coors Field, so balls should be flying all night long. Hudson is still a young pitcher making his first start at Coors, so he should give up some runs as well.